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President Trump embraced economic populism centered on trade protectionism, restrictions on international capital and technology flows, and subsidies for American raw material providers and domestic manufacturers. More innovative US counties roundly rejected this economic paradigm: Voters in innovation clusters of all sizes and across the country repudiated Trumpism in both 2016 and 2020. Trump's tariffs and attacks on global supply chains, restrictions on visas for skilled foreign workers, and his overall hostility toward high-tech sectors threatened the innovative firms that motor these places' economies. Trump was different in degree but not kind from previous American populists such as Jennings Bryan and Perot: they too exploited innovation inequality, but were less successful because, before the digital revolution, the industrial organization of American technological progress was not rooted in vertically disintegrated global supply chains. Thus, populism may not only be about resentment toward elites and experts but threaten innovation.
Chapter 2 analyses the evolution of the EU Trade Policy and how it reached the new focus on stronger enforcement of EU’s trade rights and ensuring a level playing field in trade, i.e. more assertively representing EU interests. Thus, it depicts how initially EU Trade Policy was mainly focused on multilateralism in the WTO context, then shifted to combining multilateralism with active bilateralism by signing deep and comprehensive FTAs, and finally adopted the reviewed trade policy based on ’open strategic autonomy’ model seeking a more assertive trade policy, which is also presented in more detail herein. It also explores the drivers that instigated this reorientation of trade policy, in particular the crisis of trade multilateralism, the rising nationalism, the systemic challenges posed by the Chinese exceptionalism, as well as digitisation, climate change, and COVID-19.
Chapter 6 analyses the Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI), which seeks to enable the Union to respond to economic coercion applied by third states. The chapter presents the rationale and scope of the instrument, as well as the procedures prescribed by it. In addition, it provides an extensive analysis of the instrument’s compliance with EU’s international commitments. It first assesses the ACI in view of international customary rules invoked by the EU as a legal basis, especially the principle of non-intervention and its application to economic coercion. Then it examines the ACI in light of WTO procedural and substantive rules that, as argued by the authors, supersede the general international law customary norms, and the possible justifications of a finding of violation. The chapter then complements the analysis with an evaluation of the ACI’s consistency with bilateral trade rules inscribed in EU FTAs. Finally, it contemplates other costs and benefits associated with the ACI besides its legality under international law rules, evaluating whether the adoption of the ACI is worth taking the risks, considering EU’s multilateralist stance.
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