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COMPARING BIRNBAUM IMPORTANCE MEASURE OF SYSTEM COMPONENTS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 April 2004

Fan C. Meng
Affiliation:
Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taipei 11529, Taiwan, E-mail: fcmeng@stat.sinica.edu.tw
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Abstract

This article provides us with some simple criteria to compare Birnbaum reliability importance measure of components in a general binary coherent system. Such criteria are particularly useful in the absence of information concerning component reliabilities. We also find several simple (necessary and sufficient) conditions concerning system structure, under which such comparison is possible. Examples are given to illustrate our results.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2004 Cambridge University Press

1. INTRODUCTION

Consider a binary coherent system (C,φ) of n independent components, where C = {1,2,…,n} is the index set of the n components and φ : {0,1}n [map ] {0,1} denotes the nondecreasing structure function of the system. The reliability of the ith component is denoted by pi = Pr{Xi = 1}(i = 1,…,n); the reliability function of the system is denoted by h(p) = Pr{φ(X) = 1}, where p = (p1,…,pn) and X = (X1,…,Xn). Throughout this article, we assume that 0 < pi < 1 for each 1 ≤ in to avoid trivial cases. The p minimal path sets and the c minimal cut sets of the system are respectively denoted by P1,…,Pp and C1,…,Cc (see [1] for unspecified notations).

Among various measures of component importance, the most fundamental and widely used one is the Birnbaum importance measure. The Birnbaum reliability importance measure of component i, denoted by IB(i;p), is defined by (see [1] and [2])

where (·i,p) = (p1,…,pi−1,·,pi+1,…,pn). The Birnbaum structural importance measure of component i, denoted by IB(i), is the Birnbaum reliability importance measure IB(i;p) evaluated at pi = ½,i = 1,2,…,n; that is,

where |·| denotes the cardinality of a set. Because structural importance of component i represents the importance of node i in the system, the terms importance of node and structural importance of component are used interchangeably in this article without ambiguity.

Instead of quantitative measures, some structural importance (partial) ordering among system components have been introduced and studied by researchers. For example, the following structural criticality (partial) ordering and the cut-importance ordering of components are due to Boland, Proschan, and Tong [4] and Butler [5], respectively.

Definition 1 (Boland et al. [4]): Node i is more critical than node j for φ, denoted by

, if φ(1i,0j,x) ≥ φ(0i,1j,x) for all x and strict inequality holds for some x. Nodes i and j are permutation equivalent, denoted by

, if φ(1i,0j,x) = φ(0i,1j,x) for all x.

Definition 2 (Butler [5]): For each node s, let dij(s) denote the number of collections of i distinct min cut sets such that the union of each collection contains exactly j nodes and the union includes node s. Let

and let b(s) = (b1(s),…,bn(s)). Node s is said to be more cut-important than node t, denoted by s >c t, if and only if b(s) [sc ] b(t), where [sc ] denotes lexicographic ordering.

Because of its wide applications and merits, the Birnbaum importance measure has been extensively studied by researchers, and many importance measures of components introduced by them are either motivated by the Birnbaum measure or closely related to it; for example, the two structural ordering of components introduced earlier (see Meng [8]):

It then follows that

. The fact that

was first proved (directly) in [7] by discussing the minimal cut (path) sets of the structure. From the relationships they have with the Birnbaum reliability importance measure (Eqs. (3) and (4)), this implication is easily concluded.

Based on the criticality ordering, Boland et al. [4] introduced a principle for pairwise rearrangement of components. Since we assume that 0 < pi < 1 for each i, this principle is restated in the following theorem in a more simplified manner. Also, the vector (αij,p) denotes that the component with reliability α(β) is assigned to node i(j).

Theorem 1 (Boland et al. [4]):

for all β < α and all p.

Consider a situation, often encountered in practice, in which exact values of component reliabilities are unknown (e.g., during design stages), but the system structure is known to us. Suppose that there are two components to be allotted to two nodes i and j, one for each node. Theorem 1 of Boland et al. states that if node i is more critical than node j, then the more reliable component should be allotted to node i to achieve higher system reliability, irrespective of the reliabilities of other components. Since the Birnbaum reliability importance measure is an important index in analyzing a reliability system, it is then of natural interest to consider the problem, in the case that

, whether (and when) the implication pi ≥ (≤) pjIB(i;p) ≥ IB(j;p) holds, irrespective of the reliabilities of other components. The following result due to Meng [10] represents a partial answer to the problem raised.

Theorem 2 (Meng [10]): Suppose that

and2h(p)/∂pipj ≥ 0 (≤ 0) for all p. Then, IB(i;p) > IB(j;p) for all p satisfying pipj (≥ pj).

The structure of a coherent system is generally represented in terms of its minimal cut (path) sets, and reliability analysts usually know how to use them to analyze a system. Thus, it is desirable to find some equivalent conditions, in terms of minimal cut (path) sets, to the left-hand side condition stated in Theorem 2. In this article, Theorem 2 is enhanced in two ways: (1) we obtain such equivalent structural conditions and (2) we show that the conditions are also necessary, under which such comparisons can be made. The case that nodes i and j are permutation equivalent is also studied and analogous results are obtained.

We now briefly summarize the present article. In Section 2, we first compare the Birnbaum reliability importance of two components located in two permutation equivalent nodes of a general coherent system. We show that under some assumptions on system structure, their relative Birnbaum reliability importance can be easily determined. The assumptions are also necessary, under which such comparisons are possible in the absence of information concerning component reliabilities. We then treat the case that the two nodes are asymmetric but are ordered by their structural criticality. Similar to the symmetry case, the criticality ordering is divided into three cases, and only two cases allow us to make such comparisons. Examples are given to illustrate our results.

2. RESULTS

Suppose that two components in a system are structurally permutation equivalent (i.e.,

. It is easy to see that they possess equal Birnbaum structural importance measures; however, their Birnbaum reliability importance measures IB(i;p) and IB(j;p) may not be the same when pipj. A k-out-of-n system is the only system in which all components are symmetric. Let hk(p) denote the reliability function of a k-out-of-n system. Boland and Proschan [3] obtained that if pi ≤ (k − 1)/(n − 1) for each i, then the reliability function hk(p) is Schur-concave and, hence, IB(i;p) ≥ IB(j;p) [hArr ] pipj; however, if pi ≥ (k − 1)/(n − 1) for each i, then hk(p) is Schur-convex and, hence, IB(i;p) ≥ IB(j;p) [hArr ] pipj (1 ≤ i, jn) (see [3] for the definitions of Schur-concavity and Schur-convexity).

For the case that

, the following result is presented in [10], which provides a criterion to compare IB(i;p) and IB(j;p) for a general system, not necessarily a k-out-of-n system. Note that in the following theorem, the strict inequality “>” in Theorem 2 is replaced by “≥.”

Theorem 3 (Meng [10]): Suppose that

and2h(p)/∂pipj ≥ 0 (≤ 0) for all p. Then, IB(i;p) ≥ IB(j;p) for all p satisfying pi ≤ (≥) pj.

A real-valued function f defined on Rn is called L-superadditive (-subadditive) if f satisfies the following condition:

where x ∨ (∧) y is the vector of componentwise maxima (minima). It is known that if f has second partial derivatives, then f is L-superadditive (-subadditive) if and only if ∂2f (x)/∂xixj ≥ 0 (≤ 0) for all xRn,1 ≤ i,jn (see Marshall and Olkin [6]). Boland and Proschan [3] established Schur-concavity (-convexity) of a symmetric reliability function on a region of component reliabilities and obtained results for comparing the Birnbaum reliability importance of components in k-out-of-n systems. In Theorem 3, by restricting the L-superadditivity (-subadditivity) property on two components, such comparison results are obtained for more general coherent systems, with less restrictions on component reliabilities. In Theorem 4, we observe that the condition stated in Theorem 3 is also necessary, and this property will be utilized later in this article to derive further results.

Theorem 4: Suppose that

. Then,2h(p)/∂pipj ≥ 0 (≤ 0) for all p [hArr ] IB(i;p) ≥ IB(j;p) for all p satisfying pi ≤ (≥) pj.

Proof: (⇒) This part has been shown in [10].

(⇐) By expressing IB(i;p) (similarly for IB(j;p)) as

we obtain that

Thus, when

and hence

The right-hand side condition in Theorem 4 then implies that ∂2h(p)/∂pipj ≥ 0 (≤ 0) for all p. █

We are now ready to present one of the main results of this article: We replace the restricted L-superadditivity (-subadditivity) property stated in Theorem 4 by equivalent conditions in terms of minimal cut (path) sets, which is much more convenient for engineers to use in practice. First, some notations are needed. Denote by C(i)(P(i)) the collection of minimal cut (path) sets in which each minimal cut (path) set contains i. Also denote by C(ij)(P(ij)) the collection of minimal cut (path) sets in which each minimal cut (path) set contains both i and j, and by C(ij)(P(ij)) the collection of minimal cut (path) sets in which each minimal cut (path) set contains i but not j. It is known that if

, then CkC(ij) ⇒ {j} ∪ Ck − {i} ∈ C(ji) (see [7]). Thus, C(ij) = {Ø} ⇒ C(ji) = {Ø}. The condition that

can be divided into three cases: (i) C(i) = C(j), (ii) P(i) = P(j), and (iii) neither (i) nor (ii) holds. Note that in this case

, (i) is equivalent to C(ij) = {Ø} and (ii) is equivalent to C(ij) = {Ø}.

Theorem 5: Suppose that

. Then, the following hold:

(i) C(i) = C(j) [hArr ] IB(i;p) ≥ IB(j;p) for all p satisfying pipj.

(ii) P(i) = P(j) [hArr ] IB(i;p) ≥ IB(j;p) for all p satisfying pipj.

Proof: Case (i). (⇒) Recall the minimax representation of the binary structure φ and that h(p) = Pr{min1≤kc maxiCk Xi = 1} (see [1]). Since the assumption is equivalent to iCk [hArr ] jCk, it is easy to see that the structure allows for a modular decomposition with a modular set, z = max{xi,xj} and that h(p) = pz h(1z,p) + (1 − pz)h(0z,p), where the reliability of the module pz = Pr{Z = 1} = pi + pjpi pj. Hence,

The conclusion then follows from Theorem 4.

(⇐) Suppose that the right-hand side of (i) holds. Then, from Theorem 4, ∂2h(p)/∂pipj ≤ 0 holds for all p. Note that

Thus, the assumption implies that

Now suppose that C(i) ≠ C(j) (i.e., C(ij) ≠ {Ø}). We will derive a contradiction. Let CkC(ij); then, {j} ∪ Ck − {i} is also a minimal cut set. Hence, φ(0i,1j,0Cki,1) = φ(1i,0j,0Cki,1) = 0 and φ(1i,1j,0Cki,1) = 1, where 0A means that xi = 0 for all iA. It is seen that Eq. (8) fails to hold when x = (0Cki,1).

Case (ii). (⇒) The assumption is equivalent to iPr [hArr ] jPr. Recalling the maxmin representation h(p) = Pr{max1≤rp miniPr xi = 1}, we can let z = min{xi,xj} be a modular set with reliability, pz = pi pj. It is then easily obtained that

The conclusion follows from Theorem 4.

(⇐) In this case, by Theorem 4, ∂2h(p)/∂pipj ≥ 0 for all p. Suppose that C(ij) ≠ {Ø} and let CkC(ij). Then, φ(0i,1j,0Ckij,1) = φ(1i,0j,0Ckij,1) = 1 and φ(0i,0j,0Ckij,1) = 0. Hence, φ(1i,1j,x) − φ(1i,0j,x) − φ(0i,1j,x) + φ(0i,0j,x) < 0, when x = (0Ckij,1). Thus, from Eq. (7), we see that the condition ∂2h(p)/∂pipj ≥ 0 for all p fails to hold. █

Example 1: Let φ(x) = x1 ∧ (x2x3), x1,x2,x3 ∈ {0,1}. In this example, there are two minimal cut sets: {1} and {2,3}. Clearly,

and Theorem 5(i) applies to the two nodes. Hence, IB(2;p) ≥ IB(3;p) if p2p3.

Example 2: Let φ(x) = x1 ∨ (x2x3), x1,x2,x3 ∈ {0,1}. In this example, the minimal cut sets are {1,2} and {1,3}; Theorem 5(ii) applies to nodes 2 and 3. Hence, IB(2;p) ≥ IB(3;p) if p2p3.

Next, we consider the case that nodes i and j are not symmetric but are ordered by their criticality. First, the following theorem is analogous to Theorem 4, but inequality is replaced by strict inequality.

Theorem 6: Suppose that

. Then,2h(p)/∂pipj ≥ 0 (≤ 0) for all p [hArr ] IB(i;p) > IB(j;p) for all p satisfying pipj (≥ pj).

Proof: (⇒) This part has been shown in [10].

(⇐) To show that ∂2h(p)/∂pipj ≥ 0 for all p, we will prove that φ(1i,1j,x) − φ(1i,0j,x) − φ(0i,1j,x) + φ(0i,0j,x) ≥ 0 holds for all x. Suppose that our claim is not true. Then, there exists an x* such that φ(1i,0j,x*) = φ(0i,1j,x*) = 1 and φ(0i,0j, x*) = 0. Choose a probability vector p* such that Pr{(·ij,X) = (·ij,x*)} → 1. Then, when p = p* in Eq. (5), h(1i,0j,p) − h(0i,1j,p) → 0 and ∂2h(p)/∂pipj → −1. Hence, IB(i;p) < IB(j;p) holds for some pi < pj, which contradicts our assumption. (The case ∂2h(p)/∂pipj ≤ 0 can be treated in a similar manner; the details are omitted.) █

Now, similar to the symmetry case, we divide the ordering

into three cases: (i) P(j) ⊂ P(i), (ii) C(j) ⊂ C(i), and (iii) neither (i) nor (ii) holds, where “⊂” denotes strict containment relation.

Theorem 7: Suppose that

. Then, the following hold:

(i) P(j) ⊂ P(i) [hArr ] IB(i;p) > IB(j;p) for all p satisfying pipj.

(ii) C(j) ⊂ C(i) [hArr ] IB(i;p) > IB(j;p) for all p satisfying pipj.

Proof: Case (i). (⇐) Suppose that there is a minimal path set Pr such that jPr and iPr. Then, since

, {i} ∪ Pr − {j} is a path set (not necessarily minimal). Hence, φ(0i,1j,1Prj,0) = 1, φ(1i,0j,1Prj,0) = 1, and φ(0i,0j,1Prj,0) = 0. We then choose a probability vector such that Pr{(·ij,X) = (·ij,1Prj,0)} is sufficiently close to one. Then, from Eqs. (5) and (7), IB(i;p) < IB(j;p) for some pi < pj, which contradicts our assumption. Thus, P(j) ⊆ P(i) holds. Clearly, since

, there is a minimal path set Pr such that iPr and jPr; hence, P(j) ⊂ P(i).

(⇒) Suppose that P(j) ⊂ P(i). It suffices to show that, by Theorem 6, ∂2h(p)/∂pipj ≥ 0 for all p. Let Aij be the event that at least one minimal path set, containing both i and j, is functioning; let Ai be the event that at least one minimal path set, containing i but not j, is functioning; and let A be the event that at least one minimal path set, containing neither i nor j, is functioning. Further, let Bij be the event that there exists a minimal path set, containing both i and j and in which the components other than i and j are functioning. Similarly, let Bi be the event that there exists a minimal path set, containing i but not j in which the components other than i are functioning. Then,

Thus,

Case (ii). (⇐) Suppose that there is a minimal cut set Ck such that jCk and iCk. Then, since

{i} ∪ Ck − {j} is a cut set (not necessarily minimal). Hence, φ(0i,1j,0Ckj,1) = 0, φ(1i,0j,0Ckj,1) = 0, and φ(1i,1j,0Ckj,1) = 1. Choose a probability vector such that Pr{(·ij,X) = (·ij,0Ckj,1)} is sufficiently large. Then, by employing similar arguments to that in (i), a contradiction is derived.

(⇒) Suppose that C(j) ⊂ C(i). We then let Aij be the event at which at least one minimal cut set, containing both i and j, is working, where a minimal cut set working means that all of its components have failed. Define Ai, A, Bij, and Bi similar to that in case (i), except that minimal path sets are replaced by minimal cut sets. Then,

Thus,

The conclusion then follows from Theorem 6. █

Example 1 (continued): Consider nodes 1 and 2 in this example. Clearly, P(2) ⊂ P(1) holds. Hence, IB(1;p) > IB(2;p) for all p1p2.

Example 2 (continued): Consider nodes 1 and 2 in this example. Clearly, C(2) ⊂ C(1) holds. Hence, IB(1;p) > IB(2;p) for all p1p2.

Example 3: Consider the bridge structure shown in Figure 1. The minimal path sets of the system are P1 = {1,4}, P2 = {2,5}, P3 = {1,3,5}, and P4 = {2,3,4}; the minimal cut sets are C1 = {1,2}, C2 = {4,5}, C3 = {1,3,5}, and C4 = {2,3,4}. Consider nodes 1 and 3. Clearly,

holds, but neither P(3) ⊂ P(1) nor C(3) ⊂ C(1). Thus, the third case of the ordering

holds between nodes 1 and 3. In this example,

Bridge structure for Example 3.

Thus, ∂2h(p)/∂p1p3 > 0 if p5 → 1 and p2,p4 → 0, whereas ∂2h(p)/∂pipj < 0 if p5 → 0 and p2,p4 → 1.

3. CONCLUSION

Suppose that there exists a vector (·ij,x) such that φ(1i,0j,x) < φ(0i,1j,x). Let p(x) = Pr{(·ij,X) = (·ij,x)}. Then, from Eq. (5), we see that IB(i;p) < IB(j;p) if p(x) is sufficiently large and | pipj| sufficiently small. Hence, IB(i;p) ≥ IB(j;p) for all p satisfying pi ≤ (≥) pj holds only when nodes i and j are ordered by their criticality

. Theorems 5 and 7 further specify four structural conditions under which such comparisons can be made.

References

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Figure 0

Bridge structure for Example 3.