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DECISION ANALYTIC MODELING IN HEALTH CARE DECISION MAKING

Oversimplifying a Complex World?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 May 1999

Laura A. Bloom
Affiliation:
Agouron Pharmaceuticals
Bernard S. Bloom
Affiliation:
University of Pennsylvania
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Abstract

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The need to choose among alternatives instead of allowing the market to make choices has led health care professionals to rely on scientific information as an aid in decision making. Mathematical modeling is one of the increasingly common tools used over the past three decades to produce new information. But we have used almost exclusively noncomplex models to help analyze complex systems problems. The need to integrate the complexity of the interactions of clinical, quality of life, and economic attributes into such models can no longer be ignored. The opportunity is available to use existing complex systems modeling techniques for health care questions to improve the quality of study outputs, which can, in turn, help produce more rational decisions.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 1999 Cambridge University Press