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DEVELOPING IMPROVED DRYLAND CROPPING SYSTEMS FOR MAIZE IN SEMI-ARID TANZANIA. PART II. USE OF A MODEL TO EXTRAPOLATE AND ADD VALUE TO EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 June 2003

J. W. GOWING
Affiliation:
Centre for Land Use and Water Resources Research, University of Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
M. D. B. YOUNG
Affiliation:
Centre for Land Use and Water Resources Research, University of Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
N. HATIBU
Affiliation:
Soil-Water Management Research Group, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Tanzania
H. F. MAHOO
Affiliation:
Soil-Water Management Research Group, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Tanzania
F. RWEHUMBIZA
Affiliation:
Soil-Water Management Research Group, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Tanzania
O. B. MZIRAI
Affiliation:
Soil-Water Management Research Group, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Tanzania
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Abstract

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Dryland agriculture is critically important to food security and rural livelihoods in Tanzania, but crop production is seriously constrained throughout the semi-arid lowlands by the rainfall regime. A major challenge is to develop improved cropping systems to alleviate the moisture constraint. Experimental evidence indicates that adoption of rainwater harvesting systems can bring benefits, but the restricted spatial and temporal extent of the experimental work leads to difficulties in extrapolation. This paper shows how the PARCHED-THIRST model can add value to the experimental results and provide important insights into their transferability. The model is seen as an aid to researchers, planners and extensionists in interpreting experimental results and designing locally appropriate interventions. Simulation based on 30 years of daily meteorological data provides an opportunity for temporal extrapolation. The long-term simulation allows an objective assessment of the risks and benefits associated with alternative rainwater harvesting systems. Simulation for different soils and modified rainfall regimes permits objective analysis of spatial transferability of experimental results to any other site for which rainwater harvesting interventions might be considered. It is shown that macrocatchment rainwater harvesting reduces drought risk within the target area, but may bring a serious risk of erosion due to excessively high flow rates. The overall assessment of the twin-track approach (experimentation+simulation) is that rainwater harvesting has potential for increasing productivity and sustainability of maize cropping systems in semi-arid Tanzania provided that the innovations are properly matched to the site-specific environmental conditions.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2003 Cambridge University Press