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ROLE OF EQUILIBRIUM DISTRIBUTION IN RELIABILITY STUDIES

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 February 2007

Ramesh C. Gupta
Affiliation:
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Maine, Orono, ME 04469-5752, E-mail: ramesh_gupta@umit.maine.edu
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Abstract

The equilibrium distribution arises as the limiting distribution of the forward recurrence time in a renewal process. The purpose of this article is to study the relationships between the equilibrium distributions (including its higher derivates) and the original distributions. Some stochastic order relations and the relations between their aging properties are investigated and some applications in the field of insurance and financial investments are given. In addition, the relation between the equilibrium distribution of a series system and the series system of equilibrium distribution is investigated. Bivariate equilibrium distribution whose reliability properties are consistent with those of the univariate equilibrium distribution is defined.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2007 Cambridge University Press

1. INTRODUCTION

Let X be a continuous random variable with probability density function (p.d.f.) f (x), distribution function F(x), and survival function F(x) = 1 − F(x). We define the p.d.f. f*(x)as

where μ = E(X) < ∞. Then f*(x) is called the p.d.f. of an equilibrium distribution or induced distribution.

The above distribution arises as the limiting distribution of the forward recurrence time in a renewal process. It also arises as the marginal distribution of W1, where the joint p.d.f. of (W1,W2) is given by

see Brown [10].

Note that, in this case, the p.d.f. of W2 is given by the length-biased version of the original distribution as

The equilibrium distribution (1.1) is intimately connected to its parent distribution and many of the reliability properties of the original distribution can be easily studied by means of the properties of the equilibrium distribution.

The purpose of this article is to study the relationships between (1.1) (including its higher derivatives) and the original distribution. Some stochastic order relations and the relations between their aging properties are investigated and some applications in the field of insurance and financial investments are given. This is primarily a review article. However, the examples in Section 6 are new.

The organization of this article is as follows. In Section 2 we present some definitions and background material encountered in reliability studies, including some criteria of aging and their relationships. Some definitions of stochastic order relations and their relationships are also provided. Section 3 deals with higher-order equilibrium distributions and stop loss moments. In Section 4 aging properties of equilibrium distributions and their stochastic ordering with the original distribution are explored. In Section 5 the relation between the equilibrium distribution of a series system and a series system of equilibrium distributions, consisting of two components, is investigated. Section 6 contains the bivariate equilibrium distribution along with two examples. Finally, in Section 7 we provide some conclusions and comments.

2. DEFINITIONS AND BACKGROUND

Let X be a continuous positive random variable representing a survival time with an absolutely continuous distribution function F(t), survival function F(t) = 1 − F(t), and cumulative hazard rate Λ(t) = −ln F(t) with F(0) = 1. Wherever necessary, it will be assumed that rF(t) = Λ′(t) is the hazard rate corresponding to F(t). A key role in this article will be played by the mean residual life function (MRLF) μF(t) defined as

It will be assumed that μF(0) = E(X) < ∞. When discussing the variance of the residual lifetime Xt|X > t, it will be assumed that E(X2) < ∞. The variance residual life function (VRLF) is defined as

We refer to Gupta and Kirmani [17,18], Launer [28], and Gupta, Kirmani, and Launer [19] for details about the MRLF and the VRLF.

The above-defined functions highlight different aspects of survival and residual life distributions.The hazard rate and the mean residual life function are related by

Further, the hazard rate, the MRLF, and the VRLF are tied together by the relation

see Gupta [16].

It is well known that rF(t) determines the distribution function uniquely and, hence, μF(t) also characterizes the distribution. Additionally, F(t) and μF(t) are connected by

Thus, rF(t), μF(t), and F(t) are equivalent in the sense that given one of them, the other two can be determined. Hence, in the analysis of survival data, one sometimes estimates rF(t) or μF(t) instead of F(t), according to the convenience of the procedure available.

In addition to the above functions, the residual coefficient of variation is given by γF(t) = σF(t)/μF(t). Further, the MRLF, the VRLF, and the residual coefficient of variation are connected by the relation

see Gupta [16].

We now describe briefly some aging classes of life distributions and their relationships

2.1. Some Criteria of Aging for the RLF

In this section we review some of the aging criteria and their relationships. We also describe how the aging properties of the original distribution are transformed into the aging properties of the residual life.

Let X be a continuous positive random variable representing the life of a component. Let F be the cumulative distribution function of X and F(x) = 1 − F(x) be the reliability function or the survival function of X. Then

is the survival function of a unit of age t. Evidently, any study of the phenomenon of aging should be based on

and functions related to this. Thus, the following hold:

  1. F is said to be PF2 if ln f (x) is concave, where f (·) is the density corresponding to F(·).
  2. F is said to have increasing (decreasing) failure rate [IFR (DFR)] if
    is decreasing (increasing) in t. If F is absolutely continuous with density f, then F is in the IFR (DFR) class if rF(t) = f (t)/F(t) is increasing (decreasing) in t.
  3. F is said to have increasing (decreasing) failure rate average [IFRA (DFRA)] if
    is increasing (decreasing).
  4. F is said to have new better (worse) than used [NBU (NWU)] if Ft(x) ≤ (≥) F(x) for x ≥ 0 and t ≥ 0.
  5. F is said to have decreasing (increasing) mean residual life [DMRL (IMRL)] if the mean residual life
    is decreasing (increasing) assuming that the mean μF(0) exists.
  6. F is said to have new better (worse) than used in expectation [NBUE (NWUE)] if μF(t) ≤ (≥) μF(0) for all t ≥ 0.
  7. F is said to have decreasing variance residual life (increasing variance residual life) [DVRL (IVRL)] if σF2(t) is decreasing (increasing).

The chain of implications among these classes of distributions is

The reverse implications are not true; for counterexamples, see Bryson and Siddiqui [11]. Some extensions of these classes of distributions are contained in Klefsjo [26,27], Shaked [32], Singh and Deshpande [35], Deshpande, Kochar, and Singh [12], Basu and Ebrahimi [5,6], Abouammoh [1], Abouammoh and Ahmad [2], and Loh [30].

2.2. Stochastic Order Relations

Let X and Y be nonnegative absolutely continuous random variables with density functions f (x) and g(x) and survival functions F(x) and G(x), respectively. Then, we have the following:

  1. X is said to be smaller than Y in the likelihood ratio ordering, written as XLR Y, if f (x)/g(x) is nonincreasing in x.
  2. X is said to be smaller than Y in the failure (hazard) rate ordering, written as XFR Y, if rF(x) ≥ rG(x) for all x.
  3. X is said to be smaller than Y in the stochastic ordering, written as Xst Y, if F(x) ≤ G(x) for all x.
  4. X is said to be smaller than Y in the mean residual life ordering, written as XMRL Y, if μF(x) ≤ μG(x) for all x. Deshpande, Singh, Bagai, and Jain [13] show that XMRL Y if and only if
    is decreasing in x.
  5. X is said to be smaller than Y in the increasing convex order, written as Xicx Y, if
    for all x. Note that in the literature the increasing convex order has also been called stop loss ordering (Hesselager [22]) and ST2 ordering; see Belzunce, Candel, and Ruiz [7] and Shaked and Shanthikumar [33]. For some generalized variability ordering, see Zarek [39], Li and Zhu [29], and Bhattacharjee and Sethuraman [8].
  6. X is said to be smaller than Y in the variance residual life ordering, written as XVRL Y, if σF2(x) ≥ σG2(x) for all x.
  7. X is said to be smaller than Y in the Laplace transform ordering, written as XLT Y, if E(esX) ≥ E(esY). Shaked and Shanthikumar [33] showed that this is equivalent to
    .
  8. X is said to be smaller than Y in the moment generating function ordering, written as XMGF Y, if E(esX) ≤ E(esY).

It is well known that

see Shaked and Shanthikumar [33].

3. HIGHER-ORDER EQUILIBRIUM DISTRIBUTIONS AND STOP LOSS MOMENTS

We define the sequence of induced distributions as follows. Let F(x) be the survival function of a nonnegative random variable X with MRLF given by μF(t). We now define a sequence {F1,F2,…} of survival functions induced by F as

where μn is the mean of the distribution Fn. Assume that E(Xn) < ∞ for the largest n used above so that μ12,…, μn will all be finite. In what follows, we will denote by X[0] = X, corresponding to the survival function F0 = F, the original random variable and X[1],X[2],… corresponding to F1,F2,…....

We now present the following result.

Theorem 3.1: Let φ be a convex function. Then

Proof:

where f1(x) = F(x)/μ is the p.d.f. of the first induced distribution and

is its survival function. Thus,

Particular Cases:

and, in general,

where μ0(t) = μ(t) = MRLF of F and μj(t) is the MRLF of the jth induced distribution; see also Stein and Dattero [36]. From this, it is clear that

where μj is the mean of the jth induced distribution.

3.1. Stop Loss Transform

Definition 3.1: The function πX(t) = E [(Xt)+] is called the stop loss transform of X, where (Xt)+ = Max(Xt,0) represents the amount by which X exceeds the threshold t.

The kth stop loss moment is given by

see Willmot, Drekic, and Cai [38] and Hesselager, Wang, and Willmot [23]. Note that Rk(t) has also been called the kth partial moment in the literature; see Gupta and Gupta [15]. We now present the following result.

Theorem 3.2: The survival function of the kth equilibrium distribution is given by

Proof:

Proceeding in this way, we get

We now show that Rk(t) determines the distribution function uniquely.

Theorem 3.3: Under the above-stated conditions,

where Rk(k)(t) denotes the kth derivative of Rk(t).

Proof: Applying Taylor's theorem to F(x), we get

This gives the desired result. █

Remark 3.1: For other proofs, see Gupta and Gupta [15] and Navarro, Franco, and Ruiz [31].

4. AGING PROPERTIES OF EQUILIBRIUM DISTRIBUTIONS AND SOME ORDER RELATIONS

It is well known that the failure rate of F1 is the reciprocal of the MRLF of F and, in general, the failure rate of Fi (i = 1,2,…) is the reciprocal of the MRLF of Fi−1 (i = 1,2,…). This means that Fi is IFR is equivalent to Fi−1 is DMRL. In the following, we show that Fi−1 is DMRL is equivalent to Fi−2 is DVRL.

Theorem 4.1: Fi−1 is DMRL is equivalent to Fi−2 is DVRL (i = 2,3,…).

Proof: It is enough to prove the result for i = 2. We have

Also,

This gives

This proves the result; see also Gupta et al. [19], Singh [34], Fagiuoli and Pellerey [14], and Willmot [37]. █

Corollary 4.1: Suppose F is a strictly increasing life distribution. Then F is DVRL (IVRL) if and only if the induced distribution corresponding to F is DMRL.

Remark 4.1: The restriction to strictly increasing F in Theorem 4.1 and Corollary 4.1 cannot be relaxed. This can be seen from Example 1 of Gupta et al. [19], where F is IVRL but the function E((Xt)2|X > t)/E((Xt)|X > t) is not increasing in the neighborhood of t = ½.

Remark 4.2: It is also clear from the above derivation that

From the above, we can state the following.

Theorem 4.2: Suppose F is a strictly increasing life distribution. Then F is DVRL (IVRL) if and only if μF1(t) ≤ (≥) μF(t).

Remark 4.3: The above result was also noticed by Deshpande et al. [13] and Abouammoh, Kanjo, and Khalique [3].

It is also clear from the above that μF1(t) = μF(t) if and only if F has an exponential distribution.

The following theorem addresses the stochastic comparisons of X[1] and X.

Theorem 4.3: Suppose X is a nonnegative random variable with E(X) < ∞. Then X is NBUE (NWUE) if X[1]st (≥st) X.

Proof: The survival function of X[1] is given by

This gives

Thus,

Similarly, FX[1](t) ≥ FX(t) if and only if X is NWUE. █

We now present the following result dealing with the hazard rate comparison of X[1] and X.

Theorem 4.4: Suppose X is a nonnegative random variable with E(X) < ∞. Then X is IMRL (DMRL) if and only if XFR (≥FR) X[1].

Proof:

The following result deals with the Laplace ordering of two random variables and their corresponding equilibrium distributions.

Theorem 4.5: Let X and Y be two nonnegative random variables with E(X) = E(Y). Then

Proof: We have

Now

The following two results deal with the stop loss ordering of two random variables and their corresponding equilibrium variables.

Theorem 4.6: Let X and Y be two nonnegative random variables with E(X) = E(Y). Then

Proof:

Theorem 4.7: Let X and Y be two nonnegative random variables with finite means. Then

Proof:

We now define the convex ordering as follows.

Definition 4.1: Xicx Y if E(f (X)) ≤ E(f (Y)) for all increasing convex functions. This is equivalent to

Following the above concept, we define a similar ordering between the sth equilibrium as follows.

Definition 4.2: Xsicx Y if FX(s)(t) ≤ FY(s)(t) for all t ≥ 0, where FX(s)(t) and FY(s)(t) are the survival functions of their sth equilibrium distributions; see Klar and Muller [25].

Comparing the original variable and its equilibrium variable in the above ordering, we have

This is equivalent to

Denoting

the above inequality can be written as

see Stein and Dattero [36].

5. EQUILIBRIUM DISTRIBUTION OF A SERIES SYSTEM

Let X1,X2,…,Xn be independent random variables with survival functions FX1,FX2,…,FXn, respectively. When the components are arranged in a series system, we observe X1X2 ∧ ··· ∧ Xn = Min(X1,X2,…,Xn). In this section, we will compare two systems whose components are the nth equilibrium distributions of X and Y and the nth equilibrium distribution of a system having components X and Y. More precisely, we have the following result due to Bon and Illayk [9].

Theorem 5.1: Let X and Y be independent nonnegative random variables. Let X[k] and Y[k] be respectively the independent equilibrium variables of X and Y of order k. If X and Y have the DMRL property and if the nth moments of X and Y exist, then

where (Xy)[n] is the equilibrium variable of XY of order n.

Proof: For n = 1,X[1] and Y[1] are independent and the p.d.f. of X[1]Y[1] is given by

Also, the p.d.f. of (XY)[1] is

These give

Since X and Y have the DMRL property, the right-hand side of the above equation is decreasing and, hence, X[1]Y[1]LR (XY)[1].

For the general case, we proceed by induction and assume that the result is true of k = n. It can be verified that

where

and likewise for B(t). We now show that A(t) and B(t) are decreasing functions of t.

Since Y has the DMRL property, all of its equilibrium variables have the IFR property and also the DMRL property. This means that Y[n]HR Y[n−1]. Thus,

Also, the induction hypothesis implies that

Therefore, X[n−1]Y[n]HR (XY)[n−1]. This implies that A(t) is decreasing. Similary, B(t) is decreasing and the proof is complete. █

Remark 5.1: For the lower bound on the nth moment of a series system, see the above remark.

6. BIVARIATE EQUILIBRIUM DISTRIBUTION

In order to define bivariate equilibrium distribution, we first review the bivariate hazard rates and bivariate MRLF as follows. Let (X1,X2) be a nonnegative bivariate random variable with survival function F(x1,x2).The hazard components of (X1,X2) are given by h1(x1,x2) and h2(x1,x2), where

and the MRLF of (X1,X2) is given by (μ1(x1,x2),μ2(x1,x2)), where

and likewise for μ2(x1,x2). The hazard components and the MRLF components are related by

Keeping these properties in mind, Gupta and Sankaran [21] defined the bivariate equilibrium random variable (Y1,Y2) by means of the conditional distribution as follows.

The p.d.f. of Y1 given Y2 > y2 is

Likewise, the p.d.f. of Y2 given Y1 > y1 is

It can be easily seen that the marginal distributions of Y1 and Y2 coincide with the equilibrium distributions of X1 and X2, respectively. Following the above scheme, one can easily define equilibrium distributions in higher dimensions.

We now present two examples.

Example 6.1: Gumbel's bivariate exponential distribution with survival function

It is well known that for this distribution, the conditional distribution of X1 given X2 > x2 and the conditional distribution of X2 given X1 > x1 are exponential. Also, the marginal distributions of X1 and X2 are exponentials. However, the conditional distribution of X1 given X2 = x2 and that of X2 given X1 = x1 are not exponential. For other properties of this model, see Arnold [4].

It can be easily verified that in this case

This shows that the distribution of Y1 given Y2 > y2 is exponential with parameter a + cy2. Similarly, the distribution of Y2 given Y1 > y1 is exponential with parameter b + cy1.

We will now obtain the equilibrium distributions in the case of series and parallel systems.

Series System: In this case, we observe T1 = Min(X1,X2) and the survival function is given by

and

where

see Gupta, Tajdari, and Bresinsky [20]. The above two expressions yield the p.d.f. of the equilibrium distribution in the case of a series system.

Parallel System: In this case, we observe T2 = Max(X1,X2) and the survival function is given by

and

The above two expressions yield the equilibrium distribution in the case of a parallel system.

Example 6.2: Generalized bivariate Pareto distribution with survival function

The above survival function was obtained as a mixture of independent exponential random variables; see Hutchinson and Lee [24, p.118].

It can be verified that, in this case,

where

We will now obtain the equilibrium distributions in the case of series and parralel systems.

Series System: In this case, we observe T1 = Min(X1,X2) and the survival function is given by

and

where

is the associated Legendre function of the first kind; see Gupta et al. [20].

The above two expressions yield the p.d.f. of the equilibrium distribution in the case of a series system.

Parallel System: In this case, we observe T2 = Max(X1,X2) with survival function

and

The above two expressions yield the distribution of the equilibrium distribution in the case of a parallel system.

7. SOME CONCLUSIONS AND COMMENTS

In this article we have presented the equilibrium distribution including its higher derivates from a reliability point of view. Since the equilibrium distribution is intimately connected with the original distribution, it provides a useful tool in studying several important properties of the original distribution. Aging properties of equilibrium distributions and their stochastic orderings with the original distributions are explored. The relation between the equilibrium distribution of a series system and a series system of equilibrium distributions, consisting of two components, is investigated. Extension to bivariate equilibrium distributions is provided along with some examples. It is hoped that this article will be useful to theoreticians and practitioners in studying the applications of equilibrium distribution in reliability.

Acknowledgment

The author is thankful to the Editor Sheldon Ross for some useful comments that enhanced the presentation.

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