Introduction
The goal of this article is to argue that a central thesis of the counter-imperial reading of Paul has been more asserted than proved – namely, that Paul disguised anti-imperial sentiments in his letters because speaking out against imperial authorities was too dangerous. This idea emerged with the advent of James C. Scott's Domination and the Arts of Resistance,Footnote 1 who discovered that not all texts that seem complacent with the political status quo actually are.Footnote 2 Occasionally, these texts hide shocking denouncements, concealed in plain sight. Following Scott's lead, some scholars such as Brian J. Walsh and Sylvia C. Keesmat, have felt emboldened to claim that Paul employed similar strategies, because to denounce the Roman state openly in private correspondence would have resulted in ‘immediate imprisonment’.Footnote 3 Similar claims have appeared in the work of Norman Beck, Erik Heen, Neil Elliott, Warren Carter and N. T. Wright, among others.Footnote 4 Paul would prefer to speak plainly about the abuses of the Empire but cannot do so, lest he invite official sanction from the government. Thus, he must conceal his discontent in allusion and subtext. But is this actually the case? Did Paul need to worry about his words being used against him in court? If not, the hunt for hidden meanings in Paul's letters may be misguided.
This article deals with the question of anti-imperial subtextFootnote 5 in Paul's letters by focusing on the historical circumstances that might have (or might not have!) forced Paul to conceal explicit political critique in his letters. If Paul's letters contain hidden criticism, he was hiding his criticism from something. But what was he hiding from? What kind of speech would the average resident of the Empire need to conceal? Who might have been reading or hearing Paul's letters who would want to control such speech? And does this add up to a corpus where we should expect to find trenchant political criticism written between the lines instead of out in the open? I argue that scholars have yet to find solid historical evidence that the first-century Roman world was the kind of environment where a private citizen such as Paul would be at risk for the surveillance and prosecution of this speech. That Rome would or would not seek out and punish its critics has been asserted by scholars on both sides of the debate. However, a deep dive into the historical evidence about treason law and evidence-gathering in antiquity has largely remained undone.Footnote 6 This article will hopefully be a meaningful contribution to this task, and will direct scholars in search of the political Paul to depend less on the ‘totalitarian Rome’ trope in their research.
My argument proceeds in four parts. The first section provides an overview of the recent work that some Pauline scholars have done on ‘hidden transcripts’ in Paul's letters. The second part discusses kinds of politically dissident speech in the Roman Empire and what it would take to be prosecuted. The third section discusses surveillance: even if Paul did say something that was legally actionable in his letters, who was around to hear him? Section 4 concludes with the question of whether motives besides prosecution could explain the use of hidden criticism, and an evaluation of the ‘hidden transcript’ more generally.
1. The Hidden Criticism Trope in Modern Pauline Scholarship
A good example of the counter-imperial approach to Paul is N. T. Wright's article ‘Paul's Gospel and Caesar's Empire’, which assumes the existence of codes in Paul's letters without stopping to explain why such a code might actually be present. In this article, Wright depicts Paul using ‘code’ in Phil 3 to obliquely encourage his hearers to rethink their allegiance to Rome. Just as Paul has radically rethought his commitment to Judaism in light of Christ, so too should the Philippians rethink their commitment to Rome.Footnote 7 The message is in code, however, and though the text is opaque to us it would be clear to Paul's readers. The reason why this message must be coded is never explored.
On the other hand, we have scholars such as Hans-Josef Klauck, Judith Diehl and Abraham Smith, who curtly discuss ‘coding’ in Paul's letters as though the need to code is self-evident.Footnote 8 Smith, for instance, simply mentions the ‘repressive character’ of the Roman imperial order to explain Paul's reticence to speak out against it.Footnote 9 How the Roman Empire was repressive or whom it repressed is not explored.Footnote 10 An alternative to this approach is alluding to a different statist regime and explaining how coded criticism appeared under that tyrant. Thus, Richard Horsley locates Paul in an underclass that has existed from eternity past and has always needed to mask its discontent. Paul, along with ‘the slave, serf, and sharecropper’ of every age, lives under the ‘regular surveillance of the dominant’, and because of this must make his distaste for the Roman Empire easy to overlook.Footnote 11
This is also the logic behind one of Wright's discussions of his now-ubiquitous dictum: ‘if Jesus is Lord, then Caesar is not’. In Paul: In Fresh Perspective, Wright uses Hays’ ‘echo’ criteria from Echoes of Scripture to find ‘echoes of Caesar’. These are allusions to Roman imperial propaganda that Roman Christians would hear as a ‘coded’ subversion of imperial power. Paul appeals to Jesus as ‘Saviour’ and ‘Lord’, for instance, and encourages the Philippians to locate their ‘citizenship’ in heaven.Footnote 12 Wright is clear that Paul's use of echoes is intended to be ‘mocking’.Footnote 13 Why this mocking must be so quiet is not clear. Wright does set up this discussion of coding with two historical examples he considers to be analogous. The first is the use of homoerotic coding in Western literature published in eras in which homosexuality could not be openly discussed in published works. The second is the work of a playwright, Wu Han, who was prosecuted for subtle critiques of the Maoist regime during the Chinese Cultural Revolution.Footnote 14 Wright seems to find the second example – playwriting in Maoist China –particularly informative for understanding Paul's own day. Paul is writing under an oppressive state where dissent and open criticism are not tolerated. Thus, he must use the same system that Wu Han did to criticise the state.
But how similar were Wu Han's and Paul's situations, really? Aside from the obvious fact that Wu Han lived in Maoist China and Paul lived 2,000 years earlier, there are a number of dissimilarities between Paul and Wu Han that make the comparison less than illustrative. First, there are the comparative policing abilities of Maoist China and imperial Rome. Maoist China was a modern state with an enormous bureaucracy. The Cultural Revolution was conceived not to police the thoughts of every Chinese person, but to police the bureaucracy for threats to the ‘continuous revolution’. In order to run and monitor a state of that size, the Chinese Communist Party's staff was incredibly huge and elaborate – made up of 9.7 million people in 1959 and peaking during the Cultural Revolution at 11.6 million.Footnote 15 This does not include the Red Guard, a paramilitary student force that existed to promote socialist ideas and destroy traditional Chinese thought. The Red Guard's numbers topped out at about 11 million. There was no bureaucracy and no force in imperial Rome with the size and organisation of the Chinese Community Party that could ferret out dissents as effectively as the CCP could. Secondly, there is the fact that the Cultural Revolution, as discussed above, was primarily intended to police the bureaucracy. Wu Han was not a private citizen. He was a municipal politician. He was criticised for his apparently political play Ha Rui Dismissed from Office, but getting rid of the play was not Mao's end goal. Wu Han was connected to a number of Mao's rivals, and getting rid of mid-level bureaucrat Wu Han cleared the way for Mao to also get rid of other opponents.
I list all this not just to place Wu Han in his proper historical context, but to point out a critical detail in the way censorship cases are often invoked in anti-imperial Pauline scholarship. When properly framed, most examples of Roman censorship and prosecuted speech look like the real Wu Han case, not the Wu Han case as Wright explains it. Until extremely recently in human history, governments have had neither the means nor the inclination to police the beliefs and opinions of disenfranchised, working-class, impoverished individuals. They have always cared, as we see in the Wu Han example, about the beliefs and actions of powerful individuals or mass movements that have a real chance at threatening their power.
When scholars seek hidden criticism in Paul's letters on the grounds that Paul would have needed to mask his distaste for Rome, they usually leave key historical work incomplete. They do not use the tools of historical research to demonstrate that governments that repressed and policed the language of the poorest among them existed in antiquity. Instead, they take examples from the twentieth and twenty-first centuries and retroject them into the Roman Empire. The ‘repressive imperial order’ of counter-imperial Pauline scholarship has more in common with 1984 than it does with the actual Roman Empire of history. But it is this Roman Empire, and not the one that lives in scholarly imagination, with which Paul and his letters actually had to contend.
So to conclude this section: when counter-imperial readers of Paul look for hidden resistance in his writing on the grounds that Paul's speech was at risk of being heard and prosecuted by a repressive government, these grounds are usually either assumed without evidence, or supported by appeals to larger theoretical frameworks.Footnote 16 However, just because such claims about Roman law are not well founded, this does not mean the evidence does not exist at all. We turn our attention in the next section, then, to evaluating one key assumption underlying the search for hidden criticism: that critical speech against the Empire and its ideology could be prosecuted in a court of law.
2. ‘Controlled Speech’ in Antiquity
What kind of talk, specifically against political powers, could get a person in legal trouble? Admittedly, when we discuss Roman law, particularly in the provinces, we are not always discussing a watertight legal system where the nature of offences is clearly defined and suspects are only convicted if they have committed particular deeds. Justice in the provinces where Paul did most of his work could be quite arbitrary. Furthermore, as we will discuss more in section 3, in an era in which all crimes were privately prosecuted, a prosecutable offence was largely in the eye of the beholder. Further complicating our image of justice among the provincial working class is the fact that our data are simply not systematic or complete. We just do not always know what Roman law enforcement looked like to the average provincial subject on a day-to-day basis. That said, we can still outline two kinds of ‘controlled speech’ that were particularly well known for landing dissidents of all kinds in trouble. These were defamation and the crimen maiestatis, or treason.
Defamation (or libel) was intentional harm to the reputation of another person.Footnote 17 This would consist of complaints not against the Empire in general, but against individual political figures. This is relevant for our purposes because defamation cases present us with specific instances of the interception of written material and prosecution of its authors. This is apparently the charge on which the dramatist Naevius was imprisoned and the charge that discouraged other dramatists from indulging in political criticism.Footnote 18 However, dramatic criticism is less than helpful for elucidating Paul's situation. For one thing, the dramatists whom Lucilius and Accius charged mentioned aristocrats by name in their work.Footnote 19 They did not vocalise generalised contempt for the Roman class system, but criticised leaders by name. This does not seem to be the kind of writing Paul wished to produce.Footnote 20 Whether he specifically refrained from writing such material because of fear of censure is purely a matter of speculation.Footnote 21 Secondly, libel in dramatic performances was more subject to prosecution than libel in written material. For instance, aristocrats who sued dramatists for libel in their plays are still mentioned by name in written satires, and those satirists did not face charges.Footnote 22
Maiestas was a broad chargeFootnote 23 that included a range of possible offences and potential punishments.Footnote 24 Robinson calls it the ‘fundamental crime … an attack on the organization of society’.Footnote 25 It could include violent acts against the state, subversive words against the imperial family or subversive non-verbal communicative acts, such as defacing the seal of the emperor.Footnote 26
Scholars sometimes emphasise the long list of apparently trivial things that were occasionally prosecuted as maiestas in antiquity as evidence for how careful Romans had to be.Footnote 27 If undressing where an imperial statue happened to be could land one in prison,Footnote 28 Paul and his companions would certainly need to watch their steps. However, this misconstrues the data. First of all, when Suetonius and Tacitus list the absurd crimes that were prosecuted as maeistas under Tiberius, these examples are included as an indication of how absurdly tyrannical a specific emperor was. Tiberius was infamous for his treason trials; Claudius was less so.Footnote 29 However, even under the most paranoid of emperors, the evidence does not indicate that most Romans went around terrified that they might be seen showing treasonous disrespect to the state. When we read reports of Romans facing death or exile in widespread treason charges, they are virtually always aristocrats.Footnote 30 Of course, our sources are most interested in aristocrats, but these are also the kinds of Romans whose attitudes towards the emperor could destabilise his reign. It matters much more if a senator despises the emperor than if his baker does. Furthermore, most treason trials in Paul's era that we read about are the products of political intrigue – lower-born individuals with political aspirations betraying their superiors to gain their status. It is hard to see how such dealings and backbitings would have affected the unconnected underclass, of which most Christians were a part. If treason trials were primarily a way for politicians to get rid of rivals,Footnote 31 and these trials did include accusations surrounding political speech, this suggests (as in the Wu Han example) that policing speech was not an end in itself. Policing speech was a good way for powerful Romans to get rid of other powerful Romans, but these Romans were probably less interested in attacking peasants who were simply dissatisfied with the status quo.
Much of this has already been argued by John Barclay, who writes that Paul's writings would have been politically inconsequential to Rome, along with the vast majority of Roman subjects’ opinions.Footnote 32 Barclay also notes that many of Paul's most subversive claims – particularly, that the gods of Rome are not gods – were standard Jewish positions and did not need to be hidden.Footnote 33 Barclay depicts a Rome where the underclass could basically say what it wanted, and Jews in particular had exceptional licence to challenge Roman religion and the imperial cult. However, Barclay's claims have met a fair challenge from Christoph Heilig, whose monograph Hidden Criticism? sets out to place methodological controls on the hunt for hidden transcripts. Heilig specifically deals with the question of the necessity of ‘hiding’ written criticism and concludes that Barclay's framing is too positive. Yes, Jews could say that emperors were not gods, but this was still within the context of mainstream Jews voicing allegiance to the emperor and submitting to him. Jews could criticise belief in an emperor's divinity, but they could not criticise the concept of emperors themselves. Thus, even though Jews did not sacrifice to the emperor at the Temple, they sacrificed on his behalf. Heilig argues that if Paul wanted to challenge the imperial order in general, he would need to find an oblique way to do so.Footnote 34 Similarly, Jews could deny the divinity of an emperor, but they could not claim that there was a different leader who had a right to his power. The emperor may have had non-worshippers, but he certainly did not have competitors.
Let us evaluate these claims. Would Paul have had to conceal criticism of the Roman Empire and its trappings as a whole? It is difficult to say. It is hard to find solid evidence that Paul wanted to criticise the entire imperial order but felt compelled not to do so. Systematic anarchist thought that disparaged the entire concept of a kyriarchal state is hard to find even in the most subversive of ancient literature. Even Jewish apocalyptic or messianic writings, which proudly condemn the Empire and look for the fiery end of myriad nations and nations, still assume that some kind of king will take dominion over the whole earth. This king is simply remarkable because he is chosen by GodFootnote 35 and Jewish.Footnote 36 The strongest example we can find for criticism of imperialism in general are writings that betray a nostalgia for the Roman Republic. These actually could lead to charges of maiestas. Footnote 37 But it is difficult to imagine that Paul felt this way. Jews who resisted the Empire were not looking back to the Republic. They were looking ahead to the eschaton, and the hope that good kings would replace the bad ones. This is exactly what Paul seems to be waiting for in the parousia, and the language is not hidden at all.
However, this still leaves us with one kind of speech that Heilig believes that Rome could not abide – the proclamation of a rival for imperial power. Heilig is on steadier ground when he claims that naming a competitor for Caesar's titles and lordship was far riskier than simply criticising the emperor. After all, the authors of the Gospels all seem to think that this was the crime for which Jesus was executed. However, here we fall into another trap. If Wright is correct that the ‘echo’ of imperial propaganda is so strong that the claim ‘Jesus is Lord’ declares that ‘Caesar is not’, then Paul's letters already contain a bare-faced threat to Rome. Why would we need to search further for hidden criticism when Paul has already courted a death sentence and proclaimed a king besides Caesar? We are left with two options. Either Paul's coded subversion of the Roman government was so subtle that Romans would not hear it (in which case, it would be useless as a code for Roman Christians) or Paul was capable of drawing metaphorical language from the political sphere without actually attacking it. The latter solution seems likely. After all, Christian apologists of the second century regularly refer to Jesus as Lord in their texts that are meant to demonstrate what peaceable Roman subjects they are.Footnote 38 The invocation of the term κύριος alone was clearly not enough to make a Roman think he was reading The Anarchist's Cookbook. Even in our own day, Calvinist Christians are quite capable of discussing the doctrine of election without hearing a quiet critique of how Americans choose a president. The concepts are distinct. Either the proclamation of Jesus as Lord was not an actionable offence against the state, or it was and Paul is being as explicit as he wants.
That said, because of the flexible definition of maeistas in antiquity, we cannot rule out the possibility that some of Paul's claims could be seen as seditious. We have only demonstrated that there is not good evidence that a Roman tentmaker would need to be on high alert in his speech. We cannot yet rule out the possibility that Paul is using ‘hidden criticism’ in his letters, but a major motivation for it – that a great deal of political speech in antiquity was a prosecutable offence – cannot be demonstrated. This brings us to the second assumption underlying a great deal of anti-imperial reading of Paul's letters: that Paul's speech was subject to falling into the wrong hands and being used against him. We now must evaluate the evidence that Paul's letters were in danger of being ‘overheard’ by Roman powers.
3. Surveillance
Let us imagine Paul has just written a letter and is about to have it delivered. Let us also imagine its contents have possible treasonous implications. Who would know? How much political surveillance did Paul live under? As we saw in the first section, that the Roman authorities watched Paul is more often affirmed than proved.Footnote 39 Horsley blames Paul's frequent imprisonments on the ‘semi-effective’ surveillance techniques of Roman magistrates. Barclay, on the other hand, simply writes that ‘Rome was not a police state’, and Paul's letters were unlikely to fall into the hands of anyone.Footnote 40 But the question of whether Paul was subject to surveillance can surely be answered more definitively than this. Who was reading Paul's mail? There were two main places where Paul's words could have been intercepted: on the road, and through the oral reports of people attending his churches.
First, the road. How did letters travel in the ancient world? Public mail delivery was only available for state business, so Paul would have depended on private means for delivering letters. The wealthy used slaves for this purpose.Footnote 41 Paul apparently used friends and associates.Footnote 42 With the exception of ‘Chloe's people’ in 1 Cor 1.11, most of Paul's envoys were people who were well known to him and invested in the success of his mission. Phoebe, who carried the Epistle to the Romans, is a deacon (Rom 16.1), and introduced in glowing terms. Titus carried at least some of the Corinthian correspondence (2 Cor 7.6–8). This is apparently the man Paul took with him to the Jerusalem Council (2.1). Timothy acted as Paul's envoy (1 Cor 4.17; 16.10; Phil 2.19; 1 Thess 3.2, 6) and may have carried the first Epistle to the Thessalonians. Whenever we have people carrying Paul's letters, they are rarely, if ever, people whom Paul did not know or had reason to mistrust. The odds that these people would take Paul and his letters before a magistrate are slim.
So much for the letter carriers. What about on the road? The roads of the Roman Empire were relatively well policed in order to prevent banditry (which, admittedly, still happened). This should not lead us to suppose that Timothy's bag was subject to search and seizure at regular checkpoints. We have a few references to intercepted letters in antiquity; Cicero expresses anxiety that his letters might be stolen en route. Both Cicero and Sallust also recount the same instance of letter interception in the story of the Catiline conspiracy.Footnote 43 However, it is hard to assume that Paul worried about his letters being intercepted in the way in which an influential politician or active rebel would. In our own era, trash theft occurs, but most of us do not seek to prevent it in the way Angelina Jolie and Selina Meyer might. In the same way, the fact that Cicero worried about spies does not mean that Paul did. Paul never expresses any anxiety that his letters might not arrive at their destination – a concern that Cicero frequently voices.Footnote 44 Sending out slaves or soldiers who intercept a specific envoy would have been a deliberate, pre-planned act. In an era where policing in the provinces was a scattershot project run by illiterate people,Footnote 45 there was no surveillance dragnet that Paul's letters could be caught in.Footnote 46
This brings us to the second place where Paul's words could be overheard and used against him: the church itself. Maiestas, like most other crimes in the Roman system, was prosecuted privately by delatores. A delator could be any adult male who was of good social standing in his city. He did not need to be personally victimised by a crime, but simply willing to prosecute a crime that he was aware of in the hope that he could receive some compensation for his police work.Footnote 47 Delatores were usually privately motivated individuals who had their own personal and political reasons for denouncing their fellow citizens (Seneca, Ben. 3.26; Tacitus, Ann. 6.18; Ammianus Marcellinus 27.7 and 28.1; 29.2, 4). Delatores were routinely mocked as low-born (Juvenal, Sat. 3.29)Footnote 48 and using accusations as a means of social advancement.Footnote 49 This is because delatores often achieved prestige, won honours or appointments, or received the property of those they successfully prosecuted.
Were there any potential delatores in Paul's churches? There were certainly plenty of low-born men there. Paul regularly interacted with freedmen, so it is certainly possible that he could have met one who might consider a turn as a delator. Likewise, not everyone who attended Paul's churches was a faithful adherent of Paul's teachings. At least some Christian meetings may have been open to outsiders (1 Cor 14.16, 24–6), and according to the Corinthian correspondence, not every Christian in Corinth felt as much loyalty to Paul as they did to others. However, the extent to which a delator could hope to profit from his actions was proportionally linked to the wealth and status of his target. The more prestige an individual had, the more prestige a delator stood to gain by bringing him down.Footnote 50 This makes Paul an unattractive target. Paul was a day labourer; the only real estate he probably had was at best a couple of tents. Financial and political advancement from bringing down Paul would have been minimal. Besides all this, even if a potential delator heard seditious material read from a Pauline letter, at the point at which the delator heard it Paul might be hundreds of miles away in another city. Even if a delator did covet Paul's tents and wish to bring a charge against him he would have to go and find Paul first.
What about personal reasons? Did Paul have enemies who might accuse him of treason to get him out of the way?Footnote 51 This is much more likely. Paul strikes a cloak-and-dagger note himself when he reports that ‘false brethren’ were ‘sneaking in’ and ‘spying’ (παρεισάκτους ψευδαδέλφους οἵτινες παρεισῆλθον κατασκοπῆσαι, Gal 2.4) on the freedom of his church. However, here we hit another snag. Paul's opponents, as far as we can tell from his letters, are all Christians themselves.Footnote 52 Acting as a delator was a risky proposition. At best, it could earn one money and status while eliminating opponents and settling old scores. At worse, it could land one in legal trouble as well.Footnote 53 Would members of a proselytising foreign cult associated with cult abominations and misanthropy really go around accusing one another of treason if their own cases were equally shaky? No doubt bitter enmity existed between the developing Christian sects, but it would have been unbelievably risky for them to all start accusing one another of treason. They were, after all, all proclaiming the same crucified Lord.
Paul did go to prison on multiple occasions, which means someone accused him of criminal behaviour. But it is hard to find evidence that these crimes had anything to do with his letters or anything he taught about Rome. Dieter Georgi argues that if Paul was executed by the Roman Empire, it must have been because he was accused of treason when the ‘protective code’ of calling Jesus the true king in his letters was broken. The problem is that Georgi has virtually no evidence to support this claim. He argues from silence that if Paul was executed for treason, Luke would not have made a record of it.Footnote 54 He does not explore the question of who ‘cracked the code’ of Paul's letter to the Romans. Finally, his treatment of Rom 13.1–7, which would presumably scramble the code-breaking skills of any delator, is wildly inadequate. Georgi argues that this passage is actually subversive because it discusses the governor without mentioning the princeps or an exalted status of Rome. This suggests that Paul longs for decentralisation of Roman power and a shift towards early Republican governing structures. This leaves us with a Paul who was deeply invested in Republican nostalgia and an empire where private citizens were executed if their mail was insufficiently patriotic.Footnote 55 On both counts, this seems unlikely.
If we look at our earliest source for Paul's legal trouble, Acts, it seems that local officials did not need to know much about what Paul taught in order to find him dangerous. Paul's high-conflict relationship with other Christians, his complicated status in non-Christian synagogues and his mission to bring pagans into monolatrous worship of Israel's God made him a troubling figure already. Paul did not need to be found denouncing the emperor to end up in prison. His conflict with virtually every existing social group outside his own churches was a problem already. Paul was a frequent recipient of synagogue discipline. He disturbed the peace enough to earn corporal punishment. He made a habit of convincing pagans to abandon their religion and follow foreign gods.Footnote 56 Wherever he went, there were riots. When placed in this context, Paul's eventual execution is not a mystery that needs to be explained with anti-imperial codes. Paul was a habitual, highly visible troublemaker, and his letters would not need to be ‘decoded’ to prove that. Footnote 57
4. What Paul Would Say, and What He Did Say
Perhaps the hunt for ‘hidden transcripts’ remains valid if we find a motive other than Roman surveillance and prosecution. Wright finds a potential one in Paul and the Faithfulness of God, supposing that Paul is less worried about attacks from outsiders than about offending church members. A clear statement of everything ‘Paul believed about Caesar and Rome’ could frighten away new members, or incite others to violent action. Thus, the motive of Paul's supposed hidden criticism is fear not of persecution, but of confusing his audience with overly strident language. In order to assume the presence of hidden criticism, then, we do not need to prove the existence of Roman surveillance or prosecution of politicised speech – only the destructive potential of strident political language.
This solution is still inadequate. First, the occasion of trying to prevent an armed insurrection is not the time to mince words.Footnote 58 ‘Caesar is not God, but don't revolt and don't kill anyone’ is an unobjectionable statement for a Jewish man, and also hard to misconstrue from a reader's perspective. If this is all Paul wished to to say, he could – and in the plainest reading of Paul's letters, he did. But even more than this: whatever the motive might be, we are still trapped in the cycle of trying to tease out what Paul would have said if his circumstances were different. Would Paul have excoriated Caesar in private correspondence if he knew none of his converts would respond violently? Would Paul have denied the goodness of the pax Romana if he had a constitutionally protected right to free speech? Would Paul have called for an open rebellion if he still had friendly contacts with his Zealot buddies from the old days? We just do not know.
Ultimately, this is the final shortcoming of the hunt for hidden criticism in Paul's letters. The question that this scholarship asks is, ‘If circumstances had been different for Paul as a man in the first century, what different things might Paul have said?’ The only clues, though, are what Paul did say about the Empire, and outside Romans 13, it wasn't much. Even if Paul draws vocabulary from political metaphors, the evidence just does not exist that this is Paul at his most subtly subversive. With few exceptions, Paul is silent about Caesar and his empire, and we have little evidence that tells us how to construe that silence.
The evidence simply is not on our side if we wish to posit that Paul lived in fear that his words would be used against him in court. This could be true for politically elite Romans in some eras, but Paul was not among their number. Even if Paul's words could have brought about his execution, it is not clear who would have charged him. Paul's fiercest opponents also proclaimed another king besides Caesar, and charging Paul with this crime would have been foolhardy. We just cannot make the evidence add up to a Roman world where Paul could not speak as openly about the Empire as he wanted to. If there is hidden criticism of Rome in Paul's letters, we have no motive for why it is hidden.
Here's a joke. Why don't you see elephants hiding in trees? Answer: because they are really good at it. For years in Pauline scholarship, this logic has also answered the question, ‘Why don't you see Paul criticising the Roman Empire?’ Answer: because he is really good at hiding it. What makes the elephant joke funny (or at least a little funny) is that assuming that elephants are present but well concealed in trees is a cumbersome explanation that ignores the obvious truth: there are no elephants in the trees. Perhaps the next step for reading Paul in his world is accepting the disappointing fact that radical denouncements of the Roman Empire are the Pauline equivalent of elephants in trees. Maybe they are well concealed, but they probably are not there at all.