Lieder and Griffiths (L&G) propose a normative bounded resource-rational heuristic function to relax the optimality criteria of the expected utility theory and justify the choices that lead to less optimal decisions. Expected utility theory and classical probabilities tell us what people should do if employing traditionally rational thought, but do not tell us what people do in reality (Machina Reference Machina2009). Under this principle, L&G propose an architecture for cognition that can serve as an intermediary layer between neuroscience and computation. Whilst instances where large expenditures of cognitive resources occur are theoretically alluded to, the model primarily assumes a preference for fast, heuristic-based processing. We argue that one can go beyond heuristics and the relaxation of normative theories like the expected utility theory, in order to obtain a unifying framework for decision-making.
The proposed alternative and unifying approach is based on a quantum-like cognitive framework for decision-making, which not only has the ability to accommodate several paradoxical human decision scenarios along with more traditionally rational thought processes, but can also integrate several domains of the literature (such as artificial intelligence, physics, psychology and neuroscience) into a single and flexible mathematical framework.
Figure 1 presents the proposed unifying quantum-like framework for decision-making grounded in the mathematical principles of quantum mechanics without the specification of heuristics to accommodate the cognitive biases addressed by L&G.
Figure 1. A quantum-like cognitive architecture
In quantum cognitive models, events are represented as multidimensional vectors according to a basis in complex Hilbert spaces, which reflects the potentials of all events. In quantum mechanics, this property refers to the superposition principle. For instance, when making a judgement whether or not to buy a car, a person is at the same time in an indefinite state corresponding to buy and, in the state, to not buy (Figure 2). Each person reasons according to their own basis. Different personal beliefs are obtained by rotating their basis, leading to different representations of the decision scenario and different beliefs according to each decision-maker (Figure 3). Ultimately, a person can be in a superposition of thoughts in a wave-like structure. This can create interference effects leading to outcomes that cannot be predicted by classical theories. Interference is one of the core concepts in quantum cognition.
Figure 2. Hilbert space representation of a basis state
Figure 3. Each person reasons according to an N-dimensional vector space by rotating their basis state towards their personal beliefs.
This wave-like paradigm enables the representation of conflicting, ambiguous, and uncertain thoughts (Busemeyer and Bruza Reference Busemeyer and Bruza2012) and also undecidability (Cubitt et al. Reference Cubitt, Perez-Garcia and Wolf2015). The superposition vector representation obeys neither the distributive axiom of Boolean logic nor the law of total probability. As a consequence, it enables the construction of more general models that cannot be captured in traditional classical models. The accessibility of information in the quantum cognitive framework is much higher than in a classical system, making it possible to model the different minds of bounded cognitive resources. This additional information can also accommodate several paradoxical decision scenarios, generate novel non-reductive models of how humans process concepts and generate new understandings of human cognition (Frauchiger and Renner Reference Frauchiger and Renner2018; Vourdas Reference Vourdas2019). These distinctive features of quantum theory provide several advantages and more accurate and elegant explanations for empirical data in situations where classical probability theory alone leads to puzzling and counterintuitive predictions (cognitive bias, order effects, conjunction/disjunction errors, and so on). Although, classical probability traditionally assumes independence of events, quantum theory provides probabilistic inferences which are strongly context dependent: the same predicate may appear plausible or not, depending upon the decision-maker's point of view (Pothos and Busemeyer Reference Pothos and Busemeyer2013).
L&G make a strong assumption that the mind is a computational architecture, which uses certain classes of algorithms that make the trade-off between the computational cost of using the mind's resources (and getting the necessary information) and the utility of finding the correct solution of a cognitive problem (specified at a computational level). The proposed quantum cognitive framework imposes no such assumptions about the human mind and rests on two important aspects of quantum mechanics: contextuality and interference.
Contextuality entails the “impossibility of assigning a single random variable to represent the outcomes of the same measurement procedure in different measurement conditions” (de Barros and Oas Reference de Barros, Oas, Dzhafarov, Jordan, Zhang and Cervantes2016, p. 153). As a consequence, it is not possible to define a single joint probability distribution from the empirical data collected from different measurement conditions such that the empirical data can be recovered by marginalising the joint distribution. Recent empirical evidence suggests that contextuality manifests in cognitive information processing (Basieva et al. Reference Basieva, Cervantes, Dzhafarov and Khrennikov2019; Cervantes & Dzhafarov Reference Cervantes and Dzhafarov2018). Should contextuality be present, then it would call into question the assumption of the distribution P(result|s0,h,E) (Equation 4). The intuition here is that the cognitive agent cannot form this distribution because the functional identity of the random variable of which “result” is an outcome is not unique across the environments E (viewed as measurement conditions in regard to the quote above) (Dzhafarov & Kujala Reference Dzhafarov and Kujala2014; Reference Dzhafarov and Kujala2016). Although it is theoretically speculative to associate quantum-like contextuality with (Equation 4), we do so to draw attention the fact that contextuality has little known and undiagnosed consequences for the development of probabilistic models in cognitive science.
Interference has a major impact on cognitive models, because in decision scenarios under uncertainty, one can manipulate these quantum interference effects to disturb classical probabilities and, consequently accommodate most of the cognitive limitations reported in L&G and provide alternative inferences under uncertainty that are not captured by classical probability (Pothos and Busemeyer Reference Pothos and Busemeyer2009). Recent studies suggest that quantum interference can be used to model real-world financial scenarios with high levels of uncertainty, showing a promising approach for decision support systems and artificial intelligence (Moreira et al. Reference Moreira, Haven, Sozzo and Wichert2018). In Neuroscience, interference effects in the brain can occur if neuronal membrane potentials have wave-like properties (de Barros & Suppes Reference de Barros and Suppes2009).
To conclude, we commented on the architecture proposed by L&G, which assumes a preference for fast, heuristic-based processing and strong computational assumptions about the human mind. We proposed a unifying framework for decision-making based on quantum mechanics that provides more generalised decision models capable of representing more information than classical models. It can accommodate several paradoxical findings and cognitive biases and lead to alternative and powerful inferences focused on the perspective-dependency of the decision-maker.
Lieder and Griffiths (L&G) propose a normative bounded resource-rational heuristic function to relax the optimality criteria of the expected utility theory and justify the choices that lead to less optimal decisions. Expected utility theory and classical probabilities tell us what people should do if employing traditionally rational thought, but do not tell us what people do in reality (Machina Reference Machina2009). Under this principle, L&G propose an architecture for cognition that can serve as an intermediary layer between neuroscience and computation. Whilst instances where large expenditures of cognitive resources occur are theoretically alluded to, the model primarily assumes a preference for fast, heuristic-based processing. We argue that one can go beyond heuristics and the relaxation of normative theories like the expected utility theory, in order to obtain a unifying framework for decision-making.
The proposed alternative and unifying approach is based on a quantum-like cognitive framework for decision-making, which not only has the ability to accommodate several paradoxical human decision scenarios along with more traditionally rational thought processes, but can also integrate several domains of the literature (such as artificial intelligence, physics, psychology and neuroscience) into a single and flexible mathematical framework.
Figure 1 presents the proposed unifying quantum-like framework for decision-making grounded in the mathematical principles of quantum mechanics without the specification of heuristics to accommodate the cognitive biases addressed by L&G.
Figure 1. A quantum-like cognitive architecture
In quantum cognitive models, events are represented as multidimensional vectors according to a basis in complex Hilbert spaces, which reflects the potentials of all events. In quantum mechanics, this property refers to the superposition principle. For instance, when making a judgement whether or not to buy a car, a person is at the same time in an indefinite state corresponding to buy and, in the state, to not buy (Figure 2). Each person reasons according to their own basis. Different personal beliefs are obtained by rotating their basis, leading to different representations of the decision scenario and different beliefs according to each decision-maker (Figure 3). Ultimately, a person can be in a superposition of thoughts in a wave-like structure. This can create interference effects leading to outcomes that cannot be predicted by classical theories. Interference is one of the core concepts in quantum cognition.
Figure 2. Hilbert space representation of a basis state
Figure 3. Each person reasons according to an N-dimensional vector space by rotating their basis state towards their personal beliefs.
This wave-like paradigm enables the representation of conflicting, ambiguous, and uncertain thoughts (Busemeyer and Bruza Reference Busemeyer and Bruza2012) and also undecidability (Cubitt et al. Reference Cubitt, Perez-Garcia and Wolf2015). The superposition vector representation obeys neither the distributive axiom of Boolean logic nor the law of total probability. As a consequence, it enables the construction of more general models that cannot be captured in traditional classical models. The accessibility of information in the quantum cognitive framework is much higher than in a classical system, making it possible to model the different minds of bounded cognitive resources. This additional information can also accommodate several paradoxical decision scenarios, generate novel non-reductive models of how humans process concepts and generate new understandings of human cognition (Frauchiger and Renner Reference Frauchiger and Renner2018; Vourdas Reference Vourdas2019). These distinctive features of quantum theory provide several advantages and more accurate and elegant explanations for empirical data in situations where classical probability theory alone leads to puzzling and counterintuitive predictions (cognitive bias, order effects, conjunction/disjunction errors, and so on). Although, classical probability traditionally assumes independence of events, quantum theory provides probabilistic inferences which are strongly context dependent: the same predicate may appear plausible or not, depending upon the decision-maker's point of view (Pothos and Busemeyer Reference Pothos and Busemeyer2013).
L&G make a strong assumption that the mind is a computational architecture, which uses certain classes of algorithms that make the trade-off between the computational cost of using the mind's resources (and getting the necessary information) and the utility of finding the correct solution of a cognitive problem (specified at a computational level). The proposed quantum cognitive framework imposes no such assumptions about the human mind and rests on two important aspects of quantum mechanics: contextuality and interference.
Contextuality entails the “impossibility of assigning a single random variable to represent the outcomes of the same measurement procedure in different measurement conditions” (de Barros and Oas Reference de Barros, Oas, Dzhafarov, Jordan, Zhang and Cervantes2016, p. 153). As a consequence, it is not possible to define a single joint probability distribution from the empirical data collected from different measurement conditions such that the empirical data can be recovered by marginalising the joint distribution. Recent empirical evidence suggests that contextuality manifests in cognitive information processing (Basieva et al. Reference Basieva, Cervantes, Dzhafarov and Khrennikov2019; Cervantes & Dzhafarov Reference Cervantes and Dzhafarov2018). Should contextuality be present, then it would call into question the assumption of the distribution P(result|s0,h,E) (Equation 4). The intuition here is that the cognitive agent cannot form this distribution because the functional identity of the random variable of which “result” is an outcome is not unique across the environments E (viewed as measurement conditions in regard to the quote above) (Dzhafarov & Kujala Reference Dzhafarov and Kujala2014; Reference Dzhafarov and Kujala2016). Although it is theoretically speculative to associate quantum-like contextuality with (Equation 4), we do so to draw attention the fact that contextuality has little known and undiagnosed consequences for the development of probabilistic models in cognitive science.
Interference has a major impact on cognitive models, because in decision scenarios under uncertainty, one can manipulate these quantum interference effects to disturb classical probabilities and, consequently accommodate most of the cognitive limitations reported in L&G and provide alternative inferences under uncertainty that are not captured by classical probability (Pothos and Busemeyer Reference Pothos and Busemeyer2009). Recent studies suggest that quantum interference can be used to model real-world financial scenarios with high levels of uncertainty, showing a promising approach for decision support systems and artificial intelligence (Moreira et al. Reference Moreira, Haven, Sozzo and Wichert2018). In Neuroscience, interference effects in the brain can occur if neuronal membrane potentials have wave-like properties (de Barros & Suppes Reference de Barros and Suppes2009).
To conclude, we commented on the architecture proposed by L&G, which assumes a preference for fast, heuristic-based processing and strong computational assumptions about the human mind. We proposed a unifying framework for decision-making based on quantum mechanics that provides more generalised decision models capable of representing more information than classical models. It can accommodate several paradoxical findings and cognitive biases and lead to alternative and powerful inferences focused on the perspective-dependency of the decision-maker.
Acknowledgments
Dr. Andreas Wichert was supported by funds through Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia (FCT) with reference UID/CEC/50021/2019. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.