I. OUGHT-IMPLIES-CAN
Can you be morally obligated to do the impossible? Many philosophers think not. They subscribe to the following principle:
OIC: Necessarily, if a person is morally obligated to φ, then they can φ.
OIC is easiest understood when it is read as stating that if a person cannot perform some action φ, then they cannot be morally obligated to φ.Footnote 1 The demands of morality, in other words, never require one to do the impossible. Given that Asha cannot lift the ten-ton boulder in front of her, there is no question of her being morally obligated to, no matter what consequences might result from her inevitable failure. Suppose that Asha's friend is trapped under the boulder with serious injuries and will die if she doesn't lift it. Even so, OIC says, she isn't obligated to lift it, because she can't.Footnote 2
OIC has played, and continues to play, a significant role in moral theory. To give just a few examples: it is widely taken to be a central pillar of Kant's moral philosophy;Footnote 3 it has been used to argue against the possibility of moral dilemmas;Footnote 4 it enters into debates about how to best formulate consequentialist theories;Footnote 5 it has been appealed to in arguments against both objectivist and subjectivist conceptions of our moral obligations;Footnote 6 and it is often invoked in debates about the compatibility, or otherwise, of determinism and free will,Footnote 7 and debates about the relationship between moral obligations and alternative possibilities.Footnote 8 This is only a snapshot. A complete catalogue of the debates and discussions in which the principle has been appealed to would be much longer.
Given its exalted status, one would except OIC to be very well motivated, for if it is false then whole swathes of moral theory rest on a mistake. In fact, however, it is contentious at best. Whilst several arguments have been put forward purporting to motivate it, each has been subjected to trenchant criticism.Footnote 9 In this article I will add another voice to the sceptical chorus. In particular, I will argue that one of the most widely endorsed arguments for the principle – what I will call the ‘guidance argument’ – should be considered a failure.Footnote 10 The reason why may be surprising. I will argue that it is undermined by recent insights in epistemology about the limits of our knowledge.
II. THE GUIDANCE ARGUMENT
The guidance argument for OIC is advanced by Hare, Driver, Smith, Williams, Griffin, Copp, and Andric, amongst others.Footnote 11 It goes like this:
1. If you are morally obligated to φ, then you can be guided in your deliberation about whether or not to φ by this fact.
2. You can be guided in your deliberation about whether or not to φ by your moral obligation to φ only if you can φ.
3. Therefore, you are morally obligated to φ only if you can φ.Footnote 12
Clearly the argument is valid: (3) follows straightforwardly from (1) and (2) by hypothetical syllogism. But what of the premises? Why should we accept them?
The thought behind premise (1) is that one of the central purposes of moral obligations, perhaps the central purpose, is to provide people with guidance (advice, instruction, etc.) about how to act. The foundational question of moral theory is, after all, and as it is often said, ‘What should we do?’. A theory according to which you can be obligated to φ, yet cannot be guided in your deliberation about whether or not to φ by the obligation, must then be rejected on the grounds that it fails to live up to its raison d’être: to guide your deliberation about what to do when it comes to the choice between φ-ing and not φ-ing. In the course of advancing the guidance argument, Copp puts the idea pithily: ‘The point of moral requirements is to affect our decisions, and to lead us to do what is right, by being taken into account in our deliberation.’Footnote 13
The thought behind premise (2) is that when a moral theory requires someone to do what they are unable to do it is entirely useless at fulfilling this purpose. In deliberating about what to do, one only takes into account the available options. If you cannot φ, then being told that you ought to φ won't make the slightest bit of difference to your deliberation about whether or not to φ, for the simple reason that – if you are rational, at least – you won't deliberate about whether or not to do so in the first place.Footnote 14 Sartre once memorably described an occasion on which he was approached by a student torn between leaving home to fight against fascism in Vichy France – a cause he rightly regarded as just – and staying home to care for his elderly mother, for whom he was the only source of solace and comfort in life. Which course, the student wanted to know, should he take? Had Sartre's response been ‘Both. You should stay at home to care for your mother and leave home to fight the forces of fascism’, the student would have no doubt, and quite reasonably, complained that this answer provided him with no guidance at all. He could not both leave home and stay home, and he wanted to know what he should do of the things he was actually able to do. The motivation for premise (2) is the thought that the same can be said about you, me, the student, Asha, and everyone else who seeks guidance.Footnote 15
III. THE CONDITIONS OF GUIDANCE
At first glance the guidance argument appears to provide a compelling motivation for OIC. Each of its premises looks plausible, and the conclusion that OIC is true follows straightforwardly from them. Why do I think it fails, then? Because premise (1) is false. You can be morally obligated to φ even though you cannot be guided in your deliberation about whether or not to φ by this fact, or so I'll argue.Footnote 16
To see why, first we need to look at the conditions which must be met in order for you to be guided by an obligation. We've already seen one such condition. You can only be guided in your deliberation about whether or not to φ by an obligation to φ if you are able to φ. It is this fact that the guidance argument appeals to. But that's not the only condition which must be met if you are to be guided. For suppose that you are obligated to φ, but not in a position to know about it.Footnote 17 If so, then even if you are able to φ, and even if you do φ, it is hard to see how your decision to φ could have been guided by the obligation. Smith gives an illustrative example. If you order fish rather than pork at a restaurant, then you have acted in accordance with the Levitical law prohibiting consumption of any animal that ‘parts the hoof but fails to chew the cud’. But if you are wholly ignorant of Levitical law, then you haven't been guided in your choice by it.Footnote 18 The fact that you've done what Levitical law requires of you is nothing more than a coincidence.
Here's another example, which I will draw on later. Suppose that Asha is a doctor, and that she's obligated to give her patient an injection of morphine, because he's in extreme pain, and that's what she's obligated to do whenever he's in extreme pain. Suppose, however, that Asha doesn't know that she's subject to the obligation, because she doesn't know that the patient is in extreme pain (he's in such a bad way that there are no external signs of his inner torment). Even if there is morphine available, and Asha does in fact inject the patient with it, again, whilst she has done what she was obligated to do, she hasn't been guided in her behaviour by the obligation.Footnote 19 As before, the fact that she has done what's required of her is nothing more than a coincidence.
What these cases show is that in order to be guided by an obligation to φ, you must not only be able to φ, you must also know that you are obligated to φ.Footnote 20 Both conditions must be met if you are to be guided. If one is satisfied, but the other isn't, then it is not as though you get some sort of partial guidance from the obligation. You get none whatsoever.Footnote 21
IV. GUIDANCE FAILURE AND THE LIMITS OF KNOWLEDGE
So, if you are to be guided in your deliberation about whether or not to φ by an obligation to φ, you must both be able to φ and know that you are obligated to φ. Both conditions must be met, and if one or the other isn't, you get no guidance whatsoever. This is where the problem lies for the guidance argument. For there are good reasons to think that you can be obligated to φ even though you don't know it, and even though you are not even in a position to know it. If so, then there are possible circumstances in which you are obligated to φ but incapable of being guided in your deliberation about whether or not to φ by this fact. And if that's right, then premise (1) of the guidance argument is false and the argument must be rejected.
The reasons stem from a by-now-famous argument put forward by Williamson in Knowledge and its Limits. Williamson argues that no non-trivial condition is ‘luminous’, where luminosity is defined as follows:
Luminosity: A condition C is luminous if and only if whenever C obtains, one is in a position to know that C obtains.Footnote 22
Williamson makes the case for no non-trivial condition being luminous by first arguing that a condition which looks like an especially plausible candidate for being luminous – the condition of feeling cold – fails to satisfy Luminosity, and then generalising on the grounds that we can run the same argument for any non-trivial condition. Since Williamson's argument will be central to my case against the guidance argument, I will go through it in some detail.Footnote 23
Roughly stated, the argument rests on two claims: that for a person's belief to be an item of knowledge it must be safe from error, and that for every non-trivial condition C there are liminal cases pairs: pairs of cases in which C obtains in one, but not the other, but which are so similar that the person cannot tell them apart. Since knowledge requires safety from error, the person only knows that C obtains if they could not have easily falsely believed that it obtained. But when it comes to liminal cases the person's true belief that C obtains is not safe: they could have easily falsely believed that it obtained, because there is a very similar case in which it does not obtain but – since the person cannot tell the two cases apart – they will be disposed to believe that it does. Thus, there is a case in which C obtains, but the person is not in a position to know that it obtains.
This can and should be put more precisely. Consider the following case:
Cold Morning: Asha wakes up at dawn feeling freezing, very slowly warms up, and feels hot by noon. Throughout the morning she is concentrating sufficiently hard on the question of whether she feels cold, such that if she is in a position to know that she feels cold, then she does indeed know. Asha's powers of discrimination are limited, and the change from her feeling cold to hot is so gradual that she is not aware of any change of feeling over one millisecond. Asha's confidence that she feels cold gradually diminishes, such that by noon she firmly believes that she no longer feels cold.Footnote 24
The more precise version of the argument goes like this.Footnote 25 Let t0, . . ., tn be a series of cases one millisecond apart from one another, let C be the condition that Asha feels cold, and let K(C) be the condition that Asha knows that she feels cold. Now assume that C is luminous. This gives us:
(LUM) If C obtains at t, then K(C) obtains at t
As already stated, knowledge requires safety. That is to say, one knows that P only if one could not have easily falsely believed that P. Williamson argues that the safety requirement motivates the following margin-for-error principle:
(MAR) If K(C) obtains at t, then C obtains at t+1
The thought here is that if C doesn't obtain at t+1, then one does not know that it obtains at t. This is because t and t+1 are so similar that one cannot tell them apart, and so if one believes that C obtains at t, one could have easily falsely believed that C obtains at t+1. In that case one's belief that C obtains at t is not safe, and thus not an item of knowledge.
The Cold Morning case stipulates the following premises:
(BEG) C obtains at t0
(END) C does not obtain at tn
But (LUM), (MAR), (BEG) and (END) jointly lead to a contradiction, as follows:
1. By (BEG) C obtains at t0
2. By (LUM) and (1), K(C) obtains at t0
3. By (MAR) and (2), C obtains at t0+1
4. Steps (1)–(3) are indefinitely repeatableFootnote 26
5. Therefore, C obtains at tn
6. By (END) C does not obtain at tn
7. (6) contradicts (5)
So, to avoid contradiction we must give up one of (LUM), (MAR), (BEG), or (END). (BEG) and (END) are true by stipulation, so that leaves us with (LUM) and (MAR). Since (MAR) is well motivated, we should give up (LUM). Feeling cold is not a luminous condition. Whilst Asha may usually know that she feels cold when she feels cold, she does not always know, because she doesn't know in liminal cases. And since one can construct cases with the same structure as Cold Morning for every non-trivial condition, we should conclude that no non-trivial condition is luminous.Footnote 27
For our purposes, the important condition is being morally obligated to φ. Let's suppose that if her patient appears to her to be in extreme pain, then Asha is obligated to give him an injection of morphine.Footnote 28 Here is a case analogous to Cold Morning:
Pain: At t0 the patient wakes up from an operation. He appears to Asha to be in no pain whatsoever. Over the course of the day he appears to feel more and more pain, and by tn, 12 hours later, he appears to be in extreme pain. Throughout the day Asha is concentrating sufficiently hard on the question of whether the patient appears to be in extreme pain, such that if she is in a position to know that he does, then she does indeed know that he does. Asha's powers of discrimination are limited, however, and the change from the patient appearing painless to appearing to be in extreme pain is so gradual that she is not aware of any change in how he appears to her, pain-wise, over one millisecond. Asha's confidence that he appears to be in pain gradually increases over time, such that at t0 she firmly believes that he does not appear to be in extreme pain, and at tn she firmly believes that he appears to be in extreme pain.
Earlier I described an obligation to give the patient an injection generated by him in fact being in extreme pain. Here I've described an obligation to give the patient an injection of morphine generated by him appearing to be in extreme pain. There is a reason for this change of focus. It is obvious that if Asha is obligated to give the patient an injection of morphine when he is in fact in extreme pain, then there can be cases in which one is obligated to φ but not in a position to know about it (again, the patient may be in such a bad way that there are no external signs of their inner torment). But some ethicists will be resistant to the idea that one can be morally obligated to φ but not in a position to know about it.Footnote 29 They will prefer a more internalist conception of our moral obligations. The would-be obligation for Asha to give the patient an injection of morphine generated by the appearance-to-her of him being in extreme pain is more internalist-friendly, and it is far less obvious that one can be subject to such an obligation yet not in a position to know about it. However, if the Williamsonian anti-luminosity argument is sound, then there will indeed be such cases, since we can reason in exactly the same way as in the Cold Morning case. Let t0, . . ., tn be a series of cases one millisecond apart from one another, and let us make the following two stipulations:
(BEG) The patient does not appear to Asha to be in extreme pain at t0
(END) The patient appears to Asha to be in extreme pain at tn
The argument goes as follows:
1. By (BEG) the patient does not appear to Asha to be in extreme pain at t0
2. By (LUM) and (1), Asha knows that the patient does not appear to her to be in extreme pain at t0
3. By (MAR) and (2), the patient does not appear to Asha to be in extreme pain at t0+1
4. Steps (1)–(3) are indefinitely repeatable
5. Therefore, the patient does not appear to Asha to be in extreme pain at tn
6. By (END) the patient appears to Asha to be in extreme pain at tn
7. (6) contradicts (5)
So, to avoid contradiction we must give up one of (LUM), (MAR), (BEG) or (END). As before, (BEG) and (END) are true by stipulation, so we must choose between (LUM) and (MAR). But again, (MAR) is well motivated. So we should give up (LUM). The condition that the patient appears to Asha to be in extreme pain is not luminous: even if she is usually in a position to know when it obtains, there are liminal cases in which it obtains but she is not in a position to know it. These are the cases in which the patient is in extreme pain that are so similar to cases in which the patient isn't in extreme pain that she cannot tell the two apart.
The conclusion we should draw from this is that one can be morally obligated to φ but not in a position to know about it. No matter how internalist we go with our conception of moral obligations, there will always be possible cases – the liminal cases – in which one is obligated to φ but not in a position to know it. You might not agree with the claim that a moral obligation for Asha to give a patient morphine can be generated by him appearing to her to be in extreme pain. One reason might be because you don't think that giving injections of morphine is the kind of thing that doctors can be morally obligated to do. If so, choose a different case – one that describes the kind of thing you think can be morally obligatory. It won't make a difference, as we will be able to run the argument with that case as well. Another reason might instead be because you don't think that appearances matter when it comes to moral obligations. Perhaps it is beliefs about how things are, or what the available evidence indicates about how things are, or something like that. But again, this won't make a difference – the argument will still go, because no non-trivial condition is luminous. The conclusion is unavoidable.
Where does this leave us? As I see it, with a conclusive reason to reject premise (1) of the guidance argument. As we saw earlier, if you are to be guided in your deliberation by an obligation to φ, you must both be able to φ and know that you are obligated to φ. Given luminosity failure, there are cases in which you are obligated to φ but don't know it. It follows that there are cases in which you are obligated to φ but cannot be guided in your deliberation about whether or not to φ by the obligation. But this directly contradicts premise (1) of the guidance argument, which states that if you are morally obligated to φ, then you can be guided in your deliberation about whether or not to φ by this fact. So premise (1) is false, and the argument must be rejected. Whether or not OIC is in fact true, then, it isn't motivated by the guidance argument.
This might seem complicated, but the basic idea is simple. It boils down to this: the whole point of the guidance argument is that if OIC is false, then there will be cases in which you cannot be guided by a moral obligation. But, the guidance argument goes, there are no such cases, as morality is necessarily guidance giving. So OIC must be true. However, if no non-trivial condition is luminous, then there are such cases. And it follows that there is no motivation for OIC from the guidance argument.Footnote 30
V. OBJECTIONS, REVISIONS AND REPLIES
Or so I claim, at least. I am, however, aware that there are potential objections to this argument. Here I will address what I take to be the three most conspicuous of them.
V.1. Objection: the Williamsonian argument is unsound
First, my argument obviously stands or falls with the Williamsonian anti-luminosity thesis. You might not find Williamson's argument convincing, in which case you will presumably want to reject my argument too. I don't propose to defend the anti-luminosity argument here, since to do so would take us too far afield, and it has been ably defended by others. What I will say, however, is that it is quite widely accepted amongst epistemologists. That's not to say that it hasn't been subjected to criticism. What philosophical argument hasn't? The critics fall mainly into one of two camps. The first camp claims that knowledge doesn't require safety, and so that the margin-for-error principle (MAR) is not well motivated,Footnote 31 or accepts the safety condition, but argue that it doesn't motivate (MAR).Footnote 32 The second camp claims that the argument implicitly relies on a tolerance principle and is thereby soritical.Footnote 33 My view is that close inspection of the argument reveals that both camps are mistaken, and that Srinivasan has shown as much.Footnote 34 Nevertheless, if you are sceptical you are welcome to read my argument as disjunctive: either the guidance argument fails, or moral obligations are luminous. Given that the guidance argument and the anti-luminosity argument are both widely accepted, the news that they are incompatible should be interesting in its own right.Footnote 35
V.2. Objection: you don't need to know to be guided
A second objection accepts the anti-luminosity argument, but denies that you must know that you are subject to an obligation in order to be guided by it. One might think that an obligation can guide your deliberation even if you don't know that you are subject to it, provided that you believe that you are, or provided that you rationally believe that you are, or provided that it is probable to some degree n on your evidence that you are. If so, then one may agree with the claim that you can be subject to an obligation but not in a position to know about it, but nevertheless maintain that premise (1) of the guidance argument stands firm, because knowledge isn't necessary for guidance.
This response has two flaws, both of which seem to me to be fatal. The first is this. Notice to begin with that in order for your decision to φ to be guided by an obligation to φ, the fact that you are obligated to φ must be among your motivating reasons for deciding to φ (even if it is not your only motivating reason). A person who φs, but does so for reasons unrelated to the fact that they were obligated to, hasn't been guided by the obligation any more than someone who has no idea they are obligated to φ but happens to do so anyway. I may order fish rather than pork, knowing that I thereby conform to the demands of Levitical law. But I may not give a damn what Levitical law demands of me. Its demands may not be amongst the reasons for which I chose the fish over the pork and I might have chosen the pork just as easily, had the fish seemed less appealing. In that case I haven't been guided in my choice by the (supposed) obligation not to consume any animal that parts the hoof but fails to chew the cud. I've conformed to it, but just as with conforming to an obligation one is ignorant of, this is nothing more than a coincidence.Footnote 36
So in order for your decision to φ to be guided by an obligation to φ, the fact that you are obligated to φ must be among your motivating reasons for deciding to φ.Footnote 37 The problem for the response we are currently considering is that it is plausible that one's motivating reason for φ-ing can be P only if one knows that P.Footnote 38 The following case, adapted from Hyman,Footnote 39 supports this view:
Tennis: Asha is watching the television on a June afternoon. It is Wimbledon Men's Finals Day, and the television shows Federer beating Nadal; the score is two sets to love and match point to Federer in the third. Federer wins the point, and Asha forms the belief that Federer has won the match. However, unbeknownst to Asha, the cameras at Wimbledon have ceased to function, and the television is showing a recording of last year's final. But while it does so Federer has, unbeknownst to Asha, just finished a repeat of last year's slaughter.
Asha's belief that Nadal has lost this year's championship is rational and true, but not an item of knowledge because it is ‘Gettiered’. Let's suppose that Asha is a Nadal fan, and that she is moved to write him a commiseratory letter. Why has she written the letter (i.e. what is her motivating reason for writing it?)? As Hyman points out, the answer cannot be because Nadal has lost this year's championship, since Asha isn't even aware of that fact. The fact that Nadal has lost this year's championship appears nowhere in a catalogue of her motivations for writing the letter. At most we might say that she is motivated to write it because she believes that Nadal has lost this year's championship.Footnote 40
Why is Asha's belief that Nadal has lost this year's championship, rather than the fact that he has, her reason for writing the letter, despite the fact that her belief is both rational and true? The obvious answer is: because it is not an item of knowledge, and one can φ for the reason that P only if one knows that P.
If that's right, as I think it is, and if you have only been guided by an obligation to φ if the fact that you are obligated to is amongst your reasons for φ-ing, then it follows that even if you rationally (and truly) believe that you are obligated to φ you cannot be guided in your deliberation about whether or not to φ by the obligation if you don't know about it.
To illustrate the point, let's suppose that before the match started Asha bet her sister £50 that Nadal would emerge as this year's champion. Since she's lost the bet, she's obligated to pay up, which she does.Footnote 41 But the fact that she is obligated to pay up is not her motivating reason for doing so any more than the fact that Nadal has lost is the reason for which she has written him a letter. The fact that she is obligated to do so appears nowhere in a catalogue of her motivations for paying up, after all. Her reason for paying up is at best that she believes she is obligated to so. Likewise, her decision to pay up wasn't guided by the fact that she was obligated to do so. It was at most her belief that she was obligated to do so, rather than the obligation itself (of which she was ignorant) that guided her decision.
So, putting together the idea that (a) you have been guided in your decision to φ by an obligation to φ only if the fact that you were obligated to φ is among the reasons for which you did so, and the idea that (b) P can be your reason for doing something only if you know that P, yields the conclusion that (c) you cannot be guided by an obligation if you don't know that you are subject to it.
If that's right, then the claim that rational belief is sufficient for guidance is false. Moreover, the same point applies, a fortiori, to the claim that you can be guided by an obligation provided that you believe that you are subject to it, and the claim that you can be guided by an obligation provided that it is probable on your evidence to some degree n that you are subject to it. It isn't the obligation itself doing the work in these circumstances, it's your belief that you are subject (or probably subject) to it.Footnote 42
Those who subscribe to psychologism about motivating reasons won't accept this argument.Footnote 43 They maintain that it is never worldly facts that motivate people to act, but only ever their mental states. So while they'll agree that the fact that Asha is obligated to pay up isn't amongst her motivating reasons for doing so, they'll baulk at the suggestion that it could have been, if only she hadn't been Gettiered. They'll insist that it still would have been her belief that motivated her even had she known that she was subject to the obligation. Might those who endorse the guidance argument appeal to psychologism at this juncture?
One obvious worry about this strategy is the tension between psychologism and our everyday practice of providing reasons. If you ask me why I'm leaving the party early, I may say it's because I have a meeting first thing tomorrow, and the fact that I have a meeting first thing certainly isn't a mental state of mine.Footnote 44 But even putting aside the demerits of psychologism itself, those who endorse the guidance argument are in no position to appeal to it in the first place. According to the psychologistically inclined, the fact that I'm obligated to φ is not, and can never be, my motivating reason for φ-ing, for the simple reason that obligations aren't mental states. As I have just argued, my decision to φ has been guided by x (be it a fact, mental state, or whatever) only if x is among my motivating reasons for φ-ing. When we combine these two points, we get the result that I can only be guided in my decision to φ by my mental states. Since obligations aren't mental states, it follows that I can never be guided to φ by an obligation to φ. This is where the problem lies for those who endorse the guidance argument. For recall that their motivation for premise (1) of the argument is the idea that the very point of obligations is to guide our deliberation. If they were to embrace psychologism, then, they would have to conclude that all moral obligations are pointless. This is hardly something they're likely to be happy with. Worse still, since premise (2) of their argument says that if one cannot be guided by a would-be obligation, then it isn't a genuine obligation at all, they will also be forced to say that there are no moral obligations in the first place. Suffice to say, that's not the conclusion they're after.Footnote 45
All of the above seems to me to be a good reason to dismiss the response (which, remember, was that you can be guided by an obligation even if you don't know that you are subject to it). But there is another problem, which I think ought to dissuade even those who are so far unconvinced. Williamson has argued – again convincingly in my view – that the argument for the conclusion that no non-trivial condition is luminous can be extended to show that you can know that P even though you are not in a position to rationally believe that you know that P, and indeed, even though it is arbitrarily improbable short of 0 on your evidence that you know that P.Footnote 46 And as Hawthorne and Srinivasan have pointed out,Footnote 47 there is no reason to think that this argument won't likewise extend to all non-trivial conditions. If that's right, it follows that you can be obligated to φ even though it is not rational for you to believe that you are obligated to φ, and even though it is not probable to degree n on your evidence that you are obligated to φ (at least, if n has a value greater than 0). But if so, there will still be cases in which you are obligated to φ but unable to be guided by the obligation, even on these weaker interpretations of what is required for guidance. So premise (1) remains false.Footnote 48
V.3. Objection: the guidance argument can be revised
Finally, even if premise (1) of the guidance argument is false, it might be thought that a suitable replacement for it can be found that is not vulnerable to my argument, but still captures the spirit of the idea that guidance considerations motivate OIC. Specifically, one might think that even if it is inevitable that there will be some cases where you are obligated to φ but cannot be guided in your deliberation by this fact, the more often a moral theory is capable of giving guidance, the better. If so, then it might be argued that we should accept OIC because moral theories accepting it will give guidance more often than those rejecting it.
There are two ways of interpreting this argument. On the first interpretation the claim is that if moral theory A is guidance giving more often than moral theory B, this gives us a conclusive reason to adopt A over B. On the second interpretation, the claim is that if theory A is guidance giving more often than theory B, this gives us a reason to adopt A over B, all other things being equal. Let's take these in turn.
I am unconvinced by the argument on the first interpretation, because the principle driving it will lead us to adopt absurdly subjectivist theories of moral obligation. The claim is that theory A is always superior to theory B if A gives guidance more often than B. But that cannot be right. A moral theory according to which you are obligated to φ only if you feel like φ-ing will be capable of giving guidance very often. You only need to ask yourself: do I feel like φ-ing? And whilst you are not always in a position to know what you feel like doing (due to luminosity failure) you are plausibly very often in a position to know. This theory will give guidance more often than, say, a theory according to which you are obligated to φ if your evidence indicates that φ-ing would be best (for some specified interpretation of ‘best’), since, if you are normal, you will make mistakes about what your evidence indicates more often than you will make mistakes about what you feel like doing. If, as this argument claims, the fact that theory A is more often guiding than theory B is a conclusive reason to prefer A over B, then it would follow that we have a conclusive reason to prefer the theory claiming that you are obligated to φ only if you feel like φ-ing over the theory claiming that you are obligated to φ if your evidence indicates that φ-ing would be best. But that's absurd. The latter theory is clearly superior to the former (even if it isn't the theory we should ultimately end up adopting). The former is far too lax in the demands it makes on agents. There is more to morality than doing whatever you fancy.
So we should reject the argument on the first interpretation. The principle on which it relies is a bad one. But what about the second interpretation? Here the claim is much weaker: provided theory A and theory B are equally good in all other respects, A should be preferred to B if A gives guidance more often than B. And A will give guidance more often than B if A accepts OIC and B rejects it.
I have some sympathy with this suggestion. But it falls far short of giving us anything like a decisive (or even especially strong) reason to accept OIC. For it is a wide-open question whether other things are indeed equal when it comes to theories that accept OIC versus theories that reject it.Footnote 49 OIC has some pull, but it also comes with costs. For instance, many ethicists have thought that a realistic moral theory must allow for the possibility of tragic dilemmas in which one faces conflicting, jointly unsatisfiable, moral obligations.Footnote 50 If that's right, then it puts pressure on us to give up OIC, since it is a feature of tragic dilemmas that one is condemned to violate at least one obligation, whatever one does.Footnote 51 Second, OIC is in tension with some seemingly platitudinous moral statements, such that one should never torture people for fun.Footnote 52 If, due to some kind of psychological compulsion, a person simply cannot prevent themselves from torturing people for fun, and OIC is true, it follows that they are not morally obligated to refrain from doing so. That's a hard claim to countenance.Footnote 53
I don't want to take a stand here on whether these examples give us good reasons to reject OIC. They have, of course, been the subject of considerable debate. My point, rather, is this: putting guidance considerations aside, it is at best a matter of ongoing controversy whether OIC will feature in our best moral theories. Introducing OIC may give a theory a ‘boost’ on the grounds that it will thereby become better at giving us useful guidance, but it remains to be seen whether that boost will tip the dial in favour of a theory embracing OIC over one that rejects it, for we first need to take a great many other factors into account. As a result, there is no decisive argument for OIC to be found emerging from the idea that, ceteris paribus, moral theory A is better than B if A is more guiding than B. We're just not in a position yet to know how things will turn out. But even if it turns out that guidance considerations do tip the dial in favour of OIC, they will only have played a small role in the overall argument for the principle. There is no direct route, then, to establishing OIC from the idea that the point of a moral theory is to provide us with useful guidance about how to act.Footnote 54