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Overlap of heritable influences between cannabis use disorder, frequency of use and opportunity to use cannabis: trivariate twin modelling and implications for genetic design

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  13 March 2018

Lindsey A. Hines*
Affiliation:
Addictions Department, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, England Centre for Adolescent Health, Royal Children's Hospital, Murdoch Children Research Institute, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
Katherine I. Morley
Affiliation:
Addictions Department, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, England Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Australia
Fruhling Rijsdijk
Affiliation:
Social Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, England
John Strang
Affiliation:
Addictions Department, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, England
Arpana Agrawal
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, MO, USA
Elliot C. Nelson
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, MO, USA
Dixie Statham
Affiliation:
School of Social Sciences, University of the Sunshine Coast, Queensland, Australia
Nicholas G. Martin
Affiliation:
QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
Michael T. Lynskey
Affiliation:
Addictions Department, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, England
*
Author for correspondence: Lindsey A Hines, E-mail: lindsey.a.hines@kcl.ac.uk
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Abstract

Background

The genetic component of Cannabis Use Disorder may overlap with influences acting more generally on early stages of cannabis use. This paper aims to determine the extent to which genetic influences on the development of cannabis abuse/dependence are correlated with those acting on the opportunity to use cannabis and frequency of use.

Methods

A cross-sectional study of 3303 Australian twins, measuring age of onset of cannabis use opportunity, lifetime frequency of cannabis use, and lifetime DSM-IV cannabis abuse/dependence. A trivariate Cholesky decomposition estimated additive genetic (A), shared environment (C) and unique environment (E) contributions to the opportunity to use cannabis, the frequency of cannabis use, cannabis abuse/dependence, and the extent of overlap between genetic and environmental factors associated with each phenotype.

Results

Variance components estimates were A = 0.64 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.58–0.70] and E = 0.36 (95% CI 0.29–0.42) for age of opportunity to use cannabis, A = 0.74 (95% CI 0.66–0.80) and E = 0.26 (95% CI 0.20–0.34) for cannabis use frequency, and A = 0.78 (95% CI 0.65–0.88) and E = 0.22 (95% CI 0.12–0.35) for cannabis abuse/dependence. Opportunity shares 45% of genetic influences with the frequency of use, and only 17% of additive genetic influences are unique to abuse/dependence from those acting on opportunity and frequency.

Conclusions

There are significant genetic contributions to lifetime cannabis abuse/dependence, but a large proportion of this overlaps with influences acting on opportunity and frequency of use. Individuals without drug use opportunity are uninformative, and studies of drug use disorders must incorporate individual exposure to accurately identify aetiology.

Type
Original Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2018 

Introduction

As the legislative landscape regarding cannabis alters, potentially altering patterns of use (Hopfer, Reference Hopfer2014; Hasin et al. Reference Hasin, Saha, Kerridge, Goldstein, Chou and Zhang2015; Shi et al. Reference Shi, Lenzi and An2015), a greater understanding of environmental and genetic influences on progression to harmful or disordered cannabis use is needed. Cannabis Use Disorder (CUD) is included in the DSM-5 (American Psychiatric Association, DSM-5 Task Force, 2013), an amalgamated update of DSM-IV cannabis abuse and cannabis dependence (American Psychiatric Association, 2000) characterised by loss of control over use, failure to fulfil social roles, recurrent use in hazardous situations, and use despite worsening of health problems. An estimated 10–16% of individuals who have ever used cannabis will develop dependence (Anthony, Reference Anthony, Roffman and Stephens2006) and globally 13.1 million individuals meet criteria for cannabis dependence contributing 10.3% of the illicit drug use global burden of disease (Degenhardt et al. Reference Degenhardt, Whiteford and Hall2014).

Individuals with drug dependence pass through several intermediate stages before developing a clinical condition, and many non-clinical individuals will reach earlier stages of drug use involvement without progressing to disorder. The earliest stage of involvement is having the opportunity to use (regardless of whether the individual uses the drug or not). Opportunity is required for use to occur, and forms an individual's earliest necessary condition from which they are at risk of developing dependence (Wagner & Anthony, Reference Wagner and Anthony2002). Once initiation of use has occurred, individuals will vary in frequency of cannabis use, with the increased frequency associated with increased likelihood for the development of cannabis dependence (Chen et al. Reference Chen, Kandel and Davies1997). Considering the sources of variation in progression through the stages of cannabis use, and the extent to which influences consist across different stages can provide insight into the aetiology of CUD (Hines et al. Reference Hines, Morley, Mackie and Lynskey2015a, Reference Hines, Morley, Strang, Agrawal, Nelson and Statham2016).

Twin modelling has identified a strong genetic contribution to CUD, with a review of six studies in the area concluding heritability estimates range from 45 to 78% (Agrawal & Lynskey, Reference Agrawal and Lynskey2006). Meta-analysis estimated heritability of problematic cannabis use (having one or more of the symptoms of cannabis abuse or dependence) at 51.4 [95% confidence interval (CI) 37.9–64.9] in males and 58.5 (95% CI 44.2–72.9) in females (Verweij et al. Reference Verweij, Zietsch, Lynskey, Medland, Neale and Martin2010). However, the magnitude of these influences may differ across stages of drug use. Early stages may be genetically influenced through personality traits such as novelty seeking (Laucht et al. Reference Laucht, Becker, Blomeyer and Schmidt2007), whereas at subsequent stages, such as drug dependence and development of withdrawal, genetic influences on drug metabolism, may be more influential (Dick et al. Reference Dick, Cho, Latendresse, Aliev, Nurnberger and Edenberg2014).

Common genetic influences may act on multiple stages. The majority of research into the correlation of influences between initiation of use and disordered use comes from the alcohol and tobacco literature, where a genetic correlation (0.15–0.88) has been consistently demonstrated between the earlier and later stages of drug use (Broms et al. Reference Broms, Silventoinen, Madden, Heath and Kaprio2006; Pagan et al. Reference Pagan, Rose, Viken, Pulkkinen, Kaprio and Dick2006; Morley et al. Reference Morley, Lynskey, Madden, Treloar, Heath and Martin2007). Similarly, studies of the alcohol use disorder have identified a strong genetic correlation between age of alcohol initiation and alcohol use disorder (Sartor et al. Reference Sartor, Lynskey, Bucholz, Madden, Martin and Heath2009; Ystrom et al. Reference Ystrom, Reichborn-Kjennerud, Neale and Kendler2014). Similar mechanisms may be acting on CUD. Only 34% of the variance in cannabis abuse/dependence is unique to this phenotype, with the rest shared with genetic influences on initiation (Agrawal et al. Reference Agrawal, Neale, Jacobson, Prescott and Kendler2005), and cannabis availability explains almost all the shared environmental risks in cannabis initiation and abuse (Gillespie et al. Reference Gillespie, Neale and Kendler2009b).

To date, research has not explored the extent to which genetic influences may correlate across more than two stages of drug use. Additionally, the heritability of the earliest stage of drug use – having the opportunity to use a drug (Wagner & Anthony, Reference Wagner and Anthony2002) – has been somewhat overlooked. This is despite evidence of the importance of this phenotype for the design of genetic research (Nelson et al. Reference Nelson, Lynskey, Heath, Wray, Agrawal and Shand2013): individuals who do not have the opportunity to use a substance are unable to express their genetic vulnerability to later stages, including use and use disorders. Not only are such individuals structurally missing in analytic terms, but excluding individuals who have no drug use opportunity to use from genetic association studies can provide superior control for environmental background and related covariates.

Opportunity may be regarded as a putative environmental factor, likely subject to broader environmental modifications, such as changes in national policy, but also to individual-specific factors, including peer provision of drugs. Despite these underpinnings, such ‘environmental’ factors have been shown to have heritable variation (Kendler & Baker, Reference Kendler and Baker2007; Gillespie et al. Reference Gillespie, Neale and Kendler2009b). Considering this phenotype in the context of later stages of drug transitions, such as escalation to frequent use and the development of abuse/dependence will provide insight into the pathways to the development of dependence.

By applying trivariate twin models to the phenotypes age of cannabis opportunity, frequency of cannabis use, and abuse/dependence, this paper aims to determine the extent to which genetic influences on the development of cannabis abuse/dependence are unique to the phenotype, and the extent to which they correlate with influences on opportunity to use cannabis and the frequency of cannabis use.

Methods

Sample

The sample was drawn from the Australian Twin Registry. From a pool of pairs born 1972–1979, 3348 MZ and DZ twins completed the interview component of a study of cannabis and other drug misuse. A full description of the study methodology and of the characteristics of participants has been published previously (Lynskey et al. Reference Lynskey, Agrawal, Henders, Nelson, Madden and Martin2012). The 3303 twins who provided information on whether or not they had ever had the opportunity to use cannabis, and who had complete zygosity information, form the analysis sample for this paper. This sample consisted of 975 MZ males, 481 DZ males, 734 MZ females, 371 DZ females, and 742 opposite-sex DZ twins. Of these, 808 were singletons. Mean age was 31.8 (range 27–40 years, median 32.0).

Assessment

Participants were assessed through computer-assisted telephone interviews which collected information on socio-demographics, childhood experiences, drug use and common mental health disorders, including cannabis and other drug use disorders, assessed using the Semi-Structured Assessment for the Genetics of Alcoholism (SSAGA-OZ) interview (Bucholz et al. Reference Bucholz, Cadoret, Cloninger, Dinwiddie, Hesselbrock and Nurnberger1994; Heath et al. Reference Heath, Bucholz, Madden, Dinwiddie, Slutske and Bierut1997). The SSAGA-OZ is a validated measure of mental health using DSM-IV criteria, and includes assessment of cannabis and other drug abuse and dependence. Specific measures used in the current analyses are described below.

Measures

Opportunity to use cannabis

Participants were asked ‘have you ever been offered, or had the opportunity to use cannabis, even if you didn't use it at the time? How old were you the first time?’ Of 3348 twins interviewed, 3325 provided information on whether or not they had ever had the opportunity to use cannabis. Of these twins, information on zygosity was missing for 22, resulting in an analysis sample of 3303.

For analysis, participants were categorised as having never had the opportunity to use cannabis (N = 356, 10.8%), having had later opportunity to use cannabis (first opportunity reported as happening at age 16 and over, N = 2264, 68.5%), or having had early opportunity to use cannabis (first opportunity reported as occurring at age 15 or earlier, N = 670, 20.3%). As there is no precedent in the literature for what age represents an ‘early’ opportunity to use cannabis, sensitivity analyses were conducted on the cut-off age. The correlations obtained by different cut-off points indicated results were not affected by the choice of age 15 as age cut-off for the early opportunity (see online Supplementary Material).

Cannabis use frequency

Participants were asked about lifetime frequency of use through the item ‘have you used marijuana 40 or more times, 21–39 times, 11–20 times, 7–10 times, 1–6 times?’, then the estimated number of times used. Participants were categorised as having used cannabis infrequently, at a level that precluded being asked about cannabis abuse/dependence (0–11 times, N = 1913), moderately (12–50 times, N = 476), or high frequency (50 + times, N = 554).

Cannabis abuse/dependence

Participants were classified as meeting DSM-IV criteria for lifetime cannabis abuse if they reported one or more of the following: often using cannabis in a situation where they might get hurt; arrested more than twice within a 12-month period as a result of their cannabis use; cannabis use having caused difficulty with work, study or household responsibilities; cannabis having caused social and interpersonal problems more than 3 times within a 12-month period.

Participants were classified as meeting lifetime criteria for DSM-IV cannabis dependence if they reported three or more of the following symptoms occurring within the same 12-month period: using cannabis a greater number of times/greater amount than was intended, tolerance, wanting to cut down/stop use, spending so much time obtaining/using/recovering from the effects of cannabis the participant had little time for anything else, reducing important activities as a result of cannabis use, continuing use despite it worsening health/emotional problems. In the sample used in this analysis, 16.4% (N = 543) reported cannabis abuse and/or dependence.

Individual characteristics

Sex

Sex was determined through self-report (76.9% female, N = 2540).

Zygosity

Zygosity of twin pairs was measured through standard questions about physical similarity and the extent to which twin identity was confused by parents, teachers, and strangers; methods found to give better than 95% agreement with results of genotyping (Cederlof et al. Reference Cederlof, Friberg, Jonsson and Kaij1961; Kasriel & Eaves, Reference Kasriel and Eaves1976; Sarna et al. Reference Sarna, Kaprio, Sistonen and Koskenvuo1978).

Statistical analyses

All analyses were conducted using OpenMX v2.5.2 (Boker et al. Reference Boker, Neale, Maes, Wilde, Spiegel and Brick2011) for the statistical software R v3.1.2 (R Core Team, 2013). Analyses used full information maximum-likelihood estimation with raw data, and the optimiser SLSQP was applied to analyses. Analyses were adjusted for sex.

Staged trivariate twin model

Classical twin modelling estimates the extent to which additive genetic (A), common environment (C) and unique environment (E) influence a phenotype (Neale & Cardon, Reference Neale and Cardon1992). Approaches using twins reared together can be used to determine the heritability of, and environmental contribution to, a phenotype or trait. Identical – or monozygotic (MZ) – twin pairs share 100% of their genetic material. Fraternal – or dizygotic (DZ) – twin pairs share only 50%, on average, of the same genetic material. This means they are no more genetically alike than full siblings. However, unlike siblings DZ twins will grow up in the same environment. Using this knowledge we can calculate the extent to which the variance in a phenotype is due to genetic effects, and the extent to which it is due to environmental effects (Plomin et al. Reference Plomin, DeFries, Knopik and Neiderheiser2013). If the MZ correlation is twice the DZ correlation then all twin-pair similarity can be attributed to A, whereas if the MZ correlation is greater than the DZ correlation, but not twice the DZ correlation, there is also evidence of some shared environmental influences. The extent to which the MZ twin correlation is less than 1.0 indicates the magnitude of non-shared environmental influences. Dominant genetic effects (D), which are non-additive interaction effects between genes, cannot be assessed simultaneously with C (Neale & Cardon, Reference Neale and Cardon1992). Structural equation modelling of twin data is used to obtain precise estimates of A, C, and E and allows for the comparison of models and generation of CIs around estimates (Neale & Cardon, Reference Neale and Cardon1992).

A staged twin model was fitted to assess contributions of A, C, and E to variance in age of opportunity to use cannabis, frequency of cannabis use, and lifetime cannabis abuse/dependence, and to estimate the extent to which the influences of A, C, and E on the three phenotypes were correlated (Heath et al. Reference Heath, Martin, Lynskey, Todorov and Madden2002). The staged model is appropriate for situations where early-stage phenotypes, such as cannabis use opportunity, are necessary for the expression of later behaviours, such as the development of dependence, and is a variation of the classic bivariate model appropriate for analysis of variables with data missing at random (data are missing as a result of observations on a previous variable, as opposed to data missing completely at random) (Kendler et al. Reference Kendler, Neale, Sullivan, Corey, Gardner and Prescott1999; Heath et al. Reference Heath, Martin, Lynskey, Todorov and Madden2002; Neale et al. Reference Neale, Røysamb and Jacobson2006). See Heath et al. (Reference Heath, Martin, Lynskey, Todorov and Madden2002) for full details. Explicitly modelling such structurally missing data also has the advantage of estimating the extent of covariation between these contingent stages of use (i.e. opportunity, frequency, abuse/dependence) while not excluding those who do not provide information on a prior stage (e.g. opportunity) from analyses of later stages (e.g. abuse/dependence).

A Cholesky decomposition model was used to parse the phenotypic correlations between the three stages of cannabis use and misuse into A, C, and E sources, including those specific to each of the latter stages of frequency and abuse/dependence as well as the magnitude of overlapping influences across the three stages.

Assumption testing

The analysis assumes each threshold-selected trait has an underlying bivariate/multivariate normal liability distribution. Exploring this methodological issue falls beyond the scope of this paper, but such modelling techniques have been shown to be robust to breaches of this assumption (Reinartz et al. Reference Reinartz, Haenlein and Henseler2009). Thresholds represent cut-off points along this unobserved continuous distribution of liability.

In order to test whether thresholds could be equated between MZ and DZ twins, nested models were compared against a saturated twin model. Differences in the fit of more parsimonious models compared with the saturated or ACE model were assessed via the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the change in – 2loglikelihood (Δ − 2LL), which can be approximated by a χ2 distribution with degrees of freedom (DF) equal to the difference in DF of the nested models. Where these measures lead to different conclusions on parsimony, the p value has been prioritised. The significance of thresholds (and equality between thresholds) was determined by Δ − 2LL and change in DF (ΔDF) and associated χ2 distribution. The significance of variance and covariance paths was similarly determined through likelihood ratio testing.

Results

Prevalence of, and correlations between, opportunity to use cannabis, frequency of cannabis use and abuse/dependence

Of those who reported opportunity to use cannabis by age 15 (N = 683), 35.8% (N = 244) reported high-frequency cannabis use (lifetime use 50 + times), compared with 13.7% (N = 310) of those who reported cannabis use opportunity at age 16 or older (N = 2264). Of those who reported high-frequency cannabis use (50+ times, N = 554), 75.6% (N = 418) met criteria for lifetime cannabis abuse/dependence compared with 26.3% (N = 125) of those who reported lower frequency cannabis use (12–50 times, N = 476).

A saturated twin model was used to estimate tetrachoric correlations for the categorically-defined traits of the age of opportunity, the frequency of cannabis use, and lifetime cannabis abuse/dependence (see Table 1). The relative magnitude of MZ within-trait correlations indicates heritable influences on all of these traits. The across twin/across trait correlations and CIs indicate genetic factors contribute to all correlations. MZ within trait and across trait correlations are not twice the DZ correlations, suggesting some influence of C. All correlations are less than 1.0, suggesting moderate to low effects of E.

Table 1. Tetrachoric correlations (95% confidence intervals) between age of opportunity to use cannabis and cannabis abuse/dependence in MZ and DZ twin pairs

Assumption testing

MZ and DZ thresholds could not be equated (Δ − 2LL = 15.0, ΔDF = 5, p = 0.01), and were estimated separately in all further models.

Trivariate Cholesky model fitting

A saturated model provided fit statistics, estimates for each component of the variance for all three phenotypes, and estimates for the covariance between phenotypes. The fit statistics for this model were −2LL = 11 029.68 DF = 7249, AIC = −3468.32.

Nesting models to develop parsimonious model fit

In order to identify the most parsimonious model, nested models constrained individual variance, and covariance components to zero, when CIs on the estimate from the saturated model included 0. It was possible to drop all C parameters (Δ − 2LL = 6.07, ΔDF = 6, p value = 0.41) without a significant decrement in fit. In addition, there was no statistically significant covariance between opportunity and either frequency or abuse/dependence attributable to E (Δ − 2LL = 0.58, ΔDF = 2, p value = 0.75).

Final model

The final most parsimonious model was an AE model (Δ − 2LL = 7.22, ΔDF = 8, p value = 0.51). Variance component estimates are presented in Table 2. Approximately 64–78% of the variance in each phenotype was due to additive genetic influences, with CIs indicating both frequency and abuse/dependence were modestly, but significantly, more heritable than an opportunity to use. A proportion of these genetic influences were shared across the three stages. As shown in Table 2, genetic correlations across stages ranged from 0.37 (opportunity and abuse/dependence) to 0.68 (frequency and abuse/dependence). For frequency, about 55% of the genetic influences were unique from those acting on the opportunity, while for cannabis abuse/dependence, 17% of the genetic influences were unique from those acting on opportunity and frequency of use. In addition, cannabis abuse/dependence shared individual-specific environmental influences with frequency (but not opportunity) with 27% specific to this stage.

Table 2. Proportion of variance (95% CI) attributable to additive genetic (A), shared environment (C) and unique environment (E) factors in the fully estimated and in the most parsimonious model

Discussion

Additive genetic influences determine the majority of variance in age of opportunity to use cannabis (0.64, 95% CI 0.58–0.70), frequency of cannabis use (0.74, 95% 0.66–0.80), and cannabis abuse/dependence (0.78, 95% 0.65–0.88). Of these influences, 55% of additive genetic influences acting on the frequency of cannabis use are unique from those acting on the age of opportunity to use cannabis, and 17% of additive genetic influences acting on cannabis abuse/dependence are unique from those acting on opportunity and frequency. No significant effect of the shared environment was observed, but there were unique environmental influences on all phenotypes. The only correlated unique environmental influences were between cannabis use frequency and abuse/dependence.

Previous research has not explored the correlation between influences on cannabis use opportunity and cannabis abuse or dependence, although existing studies focusing on cannabis initiation observed overlapping liabilities between cannabis initiation and progression to heavy use (0.88; 33% due to genetic factors) (Fowler et al. Reference Fowler, Lifford, Shelton, Rice, Thapar and Neale2007). This is a similar genetic contribution to the overlap in liabilities to that presently observed between cannabis opportunity and frequency of use. This demonstrates the present findings are in line with existing research showing a genetic correlation between the early stages of cannabis use and later substance use disorders.

Opportunity to use cannabis is the necessary first step in the progression towards problematic use, and this phenotype could be expected to be subject only to environmental influence. However, 64% of the variance in cannabis age at opportunity was due to genetic factors. Although it may be surprising that an apparently environmental phenotype is influenced by heritable factors, this result is consistent with previous findings that cannabis use availability (Gillespie et al. Reference Gillespie, Neale and Kendler2009b) and other putative measures of ‘environment’ (Kendler & Baker, Reference Kendler and Baker2007) are, in fact, influenced by genetic factors. Environmental measures can be heritable if there is a bidirectional relationship between an individual's behaviour and their environment if aspects of behaviour are subject to genetic influences (Kendler & Baker, Reference Kendler and Baker2007; Lynskey & Agrawal, Reference Lynskey and Agrawal2009). A review of this area identified positive and negative life events, divorce, and social support all have heritable influences (Kendler & Baker, Reference Kendler and Baker2007). The additive genetic correlation may also indicate evocative or active interactions taking place (Plomin et al. Reference Plomin, DeFries, Knopik and Neiderheiser2013), with genes influencing earlier age of cannabis use opportunity contributing to individuals selecting into environments and behaviours that facilitate the development of cannabis dependence.

Alternatively, genetic influences associated with other behaviours may be influencing progression through the stages of cannabis use. Previous research has identified conduct disorder influences transitions to cannabis use opportunity, and from the opportunity to dependence (Hines et al. Reference Hines, Morley, Strang, Agrawal, Nelson and Statham2016). This is in line with existing research demonstrating the consistent influence of conduct disorder on drug use (Lynskey et al. Reference Lynskey, Heath, Nelson, Bucholz, Madden and Slutske2002; Storr et al. Reference Storr, Wagner, Chen and Anthony2011; Reboussin et al. Reference Reboussin, Ialongo and Green2015), and genes relating to conduct disorder and involvement with deviant peers (Gillespie et al. Reference Gillespie, Neale, Jacobson and Kendler2009a) are plausible candidates for the shared genetic liability between age of opportunity and the development of cannabis abuse/dependence. Additionally, personality factors associated with drug use (Malmberg et al. Reference Malmberg, Overbeek, Monshouwer, Lammers, Vollebergh and Engels2010), such as sensation seeking, may underlie this shared genetic liability.

Cannabis opportunity, the frequency of use, and abuse/dependence show a moderate effect of the unique environment (0.35, 0.26, and 0.22, respectively), but the correlation between unique environmental influences on the opportunity and the later stages of drug use were non-significant. This may reflect measurement error (Plomin et al. Reference Plomin, DeFries, Knopik and Neiderheiser2013) but is in line with existing research demonstrating the pattern of environmental factors associated with progression between specific stages of drug use differs between transitions (Sartor et al. Reference Sartor, Lynskey, Heath, Jacob and True2007; Belsky et al. Reference Belsky, Moffitt, Baker, Biddle, Evans and Harrington2013; Hines et al. Reference Hines, Morley, Strang, Agrawal, Nelson and Statham2016). For example, childhood and early adolescent factors have been shown to be uniquely associated with cannabis opportunity, whereas escalating other drug use factors is uniquely associated with the development of cannabis dependence (Hines et al. Reference Hines, Morley, Strang, Agrawal, Nelson and Statham2016).

The present analysis indicated none of the observed variances in the opportunity to use cannabis, the frequency of use or abuse/dependence in males was attributable to the shared environment in this sample. The shared environment is usually found to be more important at earlier stages than later (Fowler et al. Reference Fowler, Lifford, Shelton, Rice, Thapar and Neale2007), and these findings contradict findings of a high shared environmental correlation between cannabis availability and cannabis abuse (Gillespie et al. Reference Gillespie, Neale and Kendler2009b). The samples differ, with the Gillespie et al. findings based on an all-male population, but these contradictory findings indicate cannabis availability (the perceived ease of obtaining cannabis) and opportunity (having been offered cannabis or being around cannabis use) represent different phenotypes.

Previous research has not tested the extent to which genetic influences on cannabis initiation and cannabis abuse overlap, so comparisons cannot be made to the present findings for the opportunity and abuse/dependence. However, when considered in the light of findings that variation in progression to subsequent use of cannabis is almost entirely attributable to the unique environment (Hines et al. Reference Hines, Morley, Strang, Agrawal, Nelson and Statham2015b), a picture is beginning to emerge of how different factors influence progression from the very earliest stages of cannabis to the development of dependence.

Implications

The potential for opportunity to use cannabis to be a marker for intervention has previously been discussed (Neumark et al. Reference Neumark, Lopez-Quintero and Bobashev2012), and the overlap in genetic influences between age of opportunity and both frequency of cannabis use and cannabis abuse/dependence indicates there is potential to use this measure to indicate those at greatest risk of developing later frequent and/or problematic use. It has previously been suggested that prevention strategies focused on modifying beliefs, norms and behavioural patterns within close social networks may be effective at reducing drug use opportunity, and consequently drug use (Neumark et al. Reference Neumark, Lopez-Quintero and Bobashev2012). The identified moderate influence of unique environmental factors on all phenotypes indicates there is scope to determine further influences which may be amenable to target within intervention efforts.

The findings of this paper have important implications for future studies of gene variants and heritability of problematic cannabis use, and in the choice of controls in case-control studies. These results indicate only a moderate proportion of genetic influences on cannabis abuse/dependence are unique from those acting on age of opportunity to use cannabis. These findings reflect previous research demonstrating the importance of considering drug use opportunity when looking at the genetics of opiate use (Nelson et al. Reference Nelson, Lynskey, Heath, Wray, Agrawal and Shand2013).

Comparison of participants in treatment for opiate dependence with nondependent neighbourhood controls (high exposure to illicit drugs, either via use or from residing in environments with widespread drug availability) identified SNPs in ANKK1 and TTC12 as associated with heroin dependence, whereas comparison with controls sourced from the ATR (individuals not dependent on alcohol or illicit drugs, with significantly lower illicit drug exposure) found no association with these SNPs (Nelson et al. Reference Nelson, Lynskey, Heath, Wray, Agrawal and Shand2013). Until now the importance of considering cannabis use opportunity in genetic studies has not been explored, although some studies remove those who have not initiated use. Removing those who have not initiated cannabis use can reduce sample size and power, and the present results indicate excluding those without opportunity may avoid conflating genetic influences whilst retaining a greater proportion of a sample. A further advantage of incorporating opportunity to use may arise in meta-analyses of genomewide association studies of cannabis use and misuse. Marked regional variation in the opportunity to use across different samples may comprise an international meta-analytic effort. Exclusion of, or accounting for, variability in exposure opportunity, even using crude indices of national policy or cannabis-related law, might reduce heterogeneity in the extent to which genetic vulnerability to later stages of cannabis problems have been adequately expressed.

Consequently, a key implication of the current findings is the necessity of taking into consideration the stage of drug use reached amongst the controls for genomic analyses. Existing research has utilised information on the extent of cannabis use in controls (e.g. excluding those who had used cannabis fewer than 6 times) (Hartman et al. Reference Hartman, Hopfer, Haberstick, Rhee, Crowley and Corley2009), but such issues are not always taken into consideration (Benyamina et al. Reference Benyamina, Bonhomme-Faivre, Picard, Sabbagh, Richard and Blecha2009). This may be especially important in studies of cannabis; a drug with a high prevalence of use, but relatively low prevalence of dependence amongst lifetime users. As the legal status of cannabis changes (Shi et al. Reference Shi, Lenzi and An2015) availability may become to be comparable with that of alcohol, but individual opportunity to use may remain variable. Depending on the research question, and on the development of research identifying genetic overlap between progression to other stages of cannabis use and problematic cannabis use, screening controls not only for opportunity or initiation of cannabis use but also for the frequency of use may have utility in improving cannabis dependence SNP identification in the future.

These findings have further implications for the overlap of genetic influences across drug classes. Existing research has suggested a proportion of the genetic factors underlying SUDs are not specific to individual drugs, and environmental influences determine the drug of misuse (Kendler et al. Reference Kendler, Jacobson, Prescott and Neale2003) However, previous research in this area has not incorporated consideration of the stage sequential nature of drug dependence into their analyses. Much of the non-specificity of genetic influences on SUDs likely results from shared influences on the earlier stages of drug use, with more specific influences (such as those related to drug metabolism, for example) associated with later stages of use.

Limitations

Certain limitations must be taken into account when interpreting these results. The data are based on retrospective self-report. Retrospective recall of age onset of drug use behaviours has been shown to be reliable (Shillington et al. Reference Shillington, Cottler, Mager and Compton1995; Johnson & Mott, Reference Johnson and Mott2001; Parra et al. Reference Parra, O'Neill and Sher2003; Ensminger et al. Reference Ensminger, Juon and Green2007), but the analyses would benefit from replication in prospective longitudinal cohorts. Self-report has been shown to be a valid measure of data collection relating to drug use (Darke, Reference Darke1998), and has been described as the gold standard for collecting data on phenotypes such as initiation and opportunity (Wagner & Anthony, Reference Wagner and Anthony2002). Given use of cannabis was illegal at the time of data collection some participants in this study may have misreported their drug use. However, the high prevalence of self-reported lifetime cannabis use (68.5%) suggests it is unlikely this was an issue.

The results are based on a twin population. Research has demonstrated twin and non-twin populations do not differ in incidence of psychiatric illness (Kendler et al. Reference Kendler, Pedersen, Farahmand and Persson1996), and no association has been found between twin environmental similarity and mental health outcomes (Kendler et al. Reference Kendler, Neale, Kessler, Heath and Eaves1993).

Conclusions

There are significant genetic contributions to lifetime cannabis abuse/dependence, but a proportion of this overlaps with genetic influences acting on the opportunity to use cannabis and the frequency of cannabis use. Individuals without drug use opportunity are uninformative, and studies of drug use disorder and frequency of use, whether focused on identifying gene variants or environmental factors, must incorporate consideration of drug use exposure amongst controls in order to accurately identify aetiological factors.

Supplementary material

The supplementary material for this article can be found at https://doi.org/10.1017/S0033291718000478.

Acknowledgements

This research was funded by National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA) grants DA18267, DA23668 & DA032573 and facilitated through access to the Australian Twin Registry. Twins Research Australia receives support from the National Health and Medical Research Council through a Centre of Research Excellence Grant, which is administered by the University of Melbourne.

Declaration of interest

AA has previously received peer-reviewed funding from ABMRF/Foundation for Alcohol Research which receives partial support from the brewing industry. JS is a researcher and clinician and has worked with a range of types of treatment and rehabilitation service-providers. He has also worked with pharmaceutical companies to seek to identify new or improved treatments, and also with a range of governmental and non-governmental organisations. His employer (King's College London) is registering intellectual property on an innovative medication development with which JS is involved (not relevant to cannabis), and JS has been named in a patent registration by a Pharma company as the inventor of a potential novel overdose resuscitation product (not relevant to cannabis). A fuller account of JS's interests is on his personal web-page of the Addictions Department at http://www.kcl.ac.uk/ioppn/depts/addictions/people/hod.aspx. JS is also supported by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Biomedical Research Centre for Mental Health at South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust and King's College London.

There are no other declarations of interest from authors of this paper.

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Figure 0

Table 1. Tetrachoric correlations (95% confidence intervals) between age of opportunity to use cannabis and cannabis abuse/dependence in MZ and DZ twin pairs

Figure 1

Table 2. Proportion of variance (95% CI) attributable to additive genetic (A), shared environment (C) and unique environment (E) factors in the fully estimated and in the most parsimonious model

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