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Lost and Found: The “Missing Girls” in Rural China. By John James Kennedy and Yaojiang Shi. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2019. 240p. $99.99 cloth, $29.95 paper.

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  13 November 2019

Christina Maags*
Affiliation:
SOAS University of Londoncm62@soas.ac.uk
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Abstract

Type
Book Reviews: Comparative Politics
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2019 

The news that the One Child Policy has resulted in 20 million females “missing” from the Chinese population census shocked many worldwide. Hitherto, academic scholarship and newspaper articles have argued that the skewed sex ratio of 118 men to 100 females and the resulting 20 million fewer females are due to either sex-selective abortion or infanticide. The book Lost and Found: The “Missing Girls” in Rural China by John James Kennedy and Yaojiang Shi presents a different interpretation of this phenomenon. As they argue, only 10 million Chinese females are truly missing from the population census. The remaining 10 million are in fact alive and remain hidden from public view because of village leaders and families’ mutual noncompliance with the One Child Policy.

Kennedy and Shi’s work constitutes a valuable contribution to our understanding of the “missing girls phenomenon.” Building on Michael Lipsky’s (1980) work on Street-Level Bureaucracy, the authors explain how after 1978 village leaders were faced with contradictory policy incentives. On the one hand, the One Child Policy introduced in 1979 stipulates that each family may only have one child, punishing additional births with heavy fines. On the other hand, the household responsibility system established in 1981, which allowed families to farm and lease their own land, created the incentive of having more children, because land was allocated according to family size and children were needed as labor. As the authors contend, village leaders used their local autonomy to turn a blind eye to villagers’ violations of the One Child Policy by underreporting population births to higher government authorities. During “policy pushes,” village leaders were under extreme pressure to implement the One Child Policy, at times with draconian measures such as forced abortions and sterilizations. In between these policy pushes, however, both families and village leaders engaged in mutual noncompliance. Consequently, children’s births, often female, were registered either late or not at all, leading to incomplete national statistics. For this reason, around 10 million females in fact “appear” in older cohorts of subsequent population censuses. The authors therefore conclude that only 10 million of the supposedly 20 million “missing” girls are truly missing either due to sex-selective abortions or infanticides.

Kennedy and Shi substantiate this claim by introducing the reader to Lipsky’s work and how it supports their argument of mutual noncompliance (chap. 2). The authors then outline how underreporting has occurred throughout Chinese history and examine population census data to demonstrate that underreporting has resulted in 10 million females not appearing in population census data (chap. 3). They subsequently turn in chapter 4 to the challenges arising with birth registration across time before presenting in-depth qualitative interviews with cadres (chap. 5), as well as families and missing girls (chap. 6). The main findings of the book are summarized in a brief conclusion.

The book has many key strengths. First, the authors make a very convincing case that fewer females are in fact “missing” than assumed because of mutual noncompliance. In each chapter, they meticulously contrast their findings to other scholarly work to demonstrate how the current perception of the “missing girls phenomenon” needs to be corrected.

Moreover, their focus on local governance processes contributes to our understanding not only of the “missing girls phenomenon” but also of village politics as a whole. The authors’ use of Lipsky’s work on street-level bureaucracy is an excellent choice, because the application of the theory sheds light on the many contradictions any grassroots bureaucracy needs to resolve when implementing national policy, regardless of the country or time under study. Second, although the focus of the book is on the 1980s to the 2000s, their work is embedded in a thorough historical analysis of local registration and reporting procedures, including birth and marriage registration and over- or underreporting of grain, land, and household size. The authors’ focus on local governance therefore showcases the difficulty of compiling national statistics in general.

The combination of qualitative with quantitative data is another strength of the book. Whereas the analysis of population census data in chapter 2 convincingly demonstrates that a large number of females reappear in later cohorts, the historical analysis of local procedures combined with in-depth interviews sheds light on why and how females are hidden from the population census. Because the book includes interviews with family planning and public security bureau cadres at the village, township, and county levels, it speaks to larger political dynamics and issues such as the cadre management system and bureaucratic coordination problems. The interviews with family members and a missing girl, newspaper reports, and survey data moreover provide a fascinating glimpse into family decision making, gender preferences, and measures taken to hide members of the family from higher authorities.

Despite its many strengths the book also demonstrates a few shortcomings. First, the authors’ main contribution is the finding that local noncompliance has resulted in as much as 10 million “missing girls,” and the in-depth interviews of actors substantiate that noncompliance. It, however, appears as if the authors claim that the finding of mutual noncompliance as such is novel and of theoretical significance (pp. 13–14). Yet that local leaders use their autonomy to underreport or not comply with central policy is well documented in the scholarly literature in relation to the underreporting of births (Daniel Goodkind, “Child Underreporting, Fertility, and Sex Ratio Imbalance in China,” Demography, 48 (1), 2011) and in other policy areas (Kenneth Lieberthal and Michael Oksenberg, Policy-Making in China, 1988). Hence, the authors’ main finding is not as novel as it seems.

Second, the data presentation in chapters 5 and 6 appears eclectic. In chapter 5 each interview is summarized in the form of a report, and those reports are presented one after another, leading to some repetition of findings. The presentation of interviews with family members in chapter 6 is more accessible, because it is structured according to the different reasons why families hide their children. In this chapter, the reader finds four subsections: interview material with family members, survey data demonstrating preferences for sons or girls, one in-depth interview with a missing girl, and newspaper reports on missing girls. Although all of these data illustrate interesting findings, the reader might find their presentation somewhat heterogenous.

Finally, the book feels repetitive in other respects as well. For instance, although the history of local registration and reporting procedures is outlined in chapter 3, many findings reappear in chapter 4, which again details in great depth how local reporting of birth registration has operated since imperial times. At the same time, whereas the issue of birth registration is important for understanding the “missing girls phenomenon” in China, other significant factors identified in chapter 2, such as fines or elementary school reforms (pp. 88–89), do not receive as much attention. They appear mostly within the discussion of the interview material in chapters 5 and 6.

Despite these minor shortcomings, Kennedy and Shi’s work presents a valuable in-depth analysis of the missing girls phenomenon. By focusing on the role of local governance, it contributes to our understanding of this trend as such, as well as of Chinese grassroots politics more broadly. It is therefore a must read for anyone interested in the One Child Policy, population control, and local governance in China.