Introduction
While human suffering might be “an unfortunate and tragic, but unavoidable consequence of war”, as observed by the US Department of Defense,Footnote 1 it has rarely been more dire than within the walls of a besieged city.Footnote 2 Siege warfare has been employed throughout history and is therefore often deemed an “archaic” or “medieval” method of warfare. Nevertheless, contemporary armed conflicts have been characterized by a resurgence of sieges, predominantly in urban areas.Footnote 3 The sieges laid on numerous Syrian cities, such as Aleppo, Ghouta and Homs, or the Yemeni city of Ta'izz, have again drawn the attention of the international community to the devastating humanitarian consequences of this method of warfare.Footnote 4 Since 2013, the United Nations Security Council has regularly condemned such practices.Footnote 5
The urbanization of armed conflict undeniably exposes civilians to immense risks, and such risks are even more amplified in a besieged city.Footnote 6 Indeed, civilians and particularly children are likely to be the first to suffer from starvation due to the complete isolation of the area.Footnote 7 Additionally, the use of explosive weapons with a wide impact area has proven to be one of the major causes of injury and death among civilians and of damage to civilian objects.Footnote 8 Beyond their direct impact, such explosive weapons are particularly harmful for civilians “trapped” in a besieged city given their long-term reverberating effects on infrastructure and services indispensable for sustaining life in such areas.Footnote 9
Sieges inevitably involve frictions with a variety of norms of international humanitarian law (IHL) when civilians are within the besieged area.Footnote 10 While the most apparent restriction of siege warfare is provided by the prohibition against starvation of civilians as a method of warfare,Footnote 11 under the prevailing restrictive interpretation of this prohibition sieges are considered lawful as long as their purpose is to achieve a military objective and not to starve the civilian population.Footnote 12 Moreover, while humanitarian relief operations might prevent or alleviate the suffering of civilians within a besieged area, controversy surrounds the question of whether and under what circumstances the besieging party might withhold consent to such operations.Footnote 13 In remedying this protection gap, this article approaches the question of the legality of sieges from another perspective – namely, from the point of view of the rules on the conduct of hostilities.Footnote 14 More specifically, the article examines whether the principle of proportionality applies to sieges and how this principle would operate in a siege context to protect civilians from excessive incidental harm.Footnote 15
This article is structured in four sections. The first section will examine the notion of “siege warfare” together with its military imperative, while the second section will present the prevailing interpretation of the prohibition against starvation and the rules regulating humanitarian relief operations and their inadequacies in terms of providing protection to civilians within a besieged area. The third section will address an essential preliminary question before turning to the proportionality analysis as such – namely, whether a siege, and more precisely its encirclement and isolation aspect, can be considered an attack in the sense of Article 49(1) of Additional Protocol I (AP I). Three arguments will be presented to substantiate the claim that it can: first, the definition of an “attack” is sufficiently flexible to encompass sieges; second, an analogy can be made with the law of blockades; and third, there seems to be an emerging State practice of, and support among experts for, applying the principle of proportionality to sieges. The fourth section will explore how the proportionality principle would operate in times of siege warfare. It will be demonstrated that, in light of the precautionary obligation of Article 57(2)(b) of AP I, the proportionality of a siege must be continuously monitored.
Siege warfare and its military imperative
Characterizing sieges in legal terms is considerably complicated by the lack of a definition of this concept under IHL.Footnote 16 Siege warfare has sometimes been termed an “operational strategy” and consists generally of a combination of two methods of warfare.Footnote 17 The essence of a siege lies in the encirclement of a defended area and the subsequent isolation of the enemy forces by cutting of their channels of supply and reinforcement with a view of inducing the enemy into submission by means of starvation.Footnote 18 In order to maintain pressure on the besieged forces and to accelerate their surrender, contemporary sieges are frequently accompanied by bombardment.Footnote 19
Despite their “archaic” connotations, military doctrine considers resorting to sieges essential, especially in the context of urban warfare.Footnote 20 While cities are of crucial strategic importance to belligerents, conducting military operations inside such complex urban environments, where military objectives are intermingled with civilians and civilian objects, has proven particularly challenging.Footnote 21 Siege operations might offer an alternative to intense street-by-street fighting against an “entrenched” enemy and consequently avoid extensive harm among both the attacking forces and the civilian population.Footnote 22 In such circumstances, the laying of a siege might conform with the obligation to take all feasible precautions in the choice of means and methods of attack to avoid or in any event to minimize incidental civilian harm.Footnote 23
The prohibition against starvation, the rules regulating humanitarian relief operations and their deficiencies
Whereas starving enemy forces is unquestionably a legitimate method of warfare,Footnote 24 contemporary IHL prohibits the starvation of the civilian population as a method of warfare.Footnote 25
Although the inclusion of this principle in the Additional Protocols was considered “innovative, and a significant progress of the law”,Footnote 26 the ambiguous wording of the prohibition has allowed States to adopt a permissive approach with regard to sieges that affect civilians. Moreover, while humanitarian relief operations might prevent or alleviate the suffering of civilians within a besieged area, controversy surrounds the question of whether and under what circumstances the besieging party might withhold consent to such operations.
Interpreting the prohibition against starvation: A permissive approach to sieges
Although some scholars have concluded that the prohibition against starvation precludes the enforcement of a siege when civilians are affected,Footnote 27 the majority interpretation of this prohibition considers sieges a lawful method of warfare as long as their purpose is to achieve a military objective and not to starve the civilian population.Footnote 28 This permissive approach towards sieges is based on a restrictive reading of Article 54(1) of AP I and Article 14 of Additional Protocol II (AP II), which refer to starvation as a “method of warfare” and a “method of combat” respectively and which are considered as merely precluding conduct the purpose of which is to starve civilians.Footnote 29 This interpretation finds support in the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) Commentary on AP I, which provides that
[t]o use [starvation] as a method of warfare would be to provoke it deliberately, causing the population to suffer hunger, particularly by depriving it of its sources of food or of supplies. … Starvation is referred to here as a method of warfare, i.e., a weapon to annihilate or weaken the population.Footnote 30
This approach is articulated in a number of military manuals and is incorporated in the San Remo Manual on International Law Applicable to Armed Conflicts at Sea (San Remo Manual) and the HPCR Manual on International Law Applicable to Air and Missile Warfare (Harvard Manual) with regard to sea and aerial blockades.Footnote 31
However, it must be noted that such a restrictive interpretation has not remained without criticism. Dannenbaum has argued in particular that the requirement that starvation must be pursued “as a method of warfare” merely requires that starvation is used as a method of conducting hostilities, and that no purposive element can be inferred from such a requirement.Footnote 32 Based on an interpretation of the prohibition against starvation in its context (namely, in light of Article 54 of AP I and Article 14 of AP II as a whole), Dannenbaum comes to the conclusion that this prohibition also extends to situations where civilians are not starved purposefully but where starvation is the foreseeable consequence of a particular course of action.Footnote 33
While Dannenbaum's approach is convincing and the present author endorses it, it does not correspond with the restrictive interpretation of the prohibition against starvation which prevails at the moment. However, even when the prohibition against starvation is not triggered, the rules regulating humanitarian relief operations might play a crucial role in preventing and alleviating the effects on the civilian population in a besieged area.Footnote 34
Preventing and alleviating starvation: Humanitarian relief actions and evacuations
The primary responsibility for meeting the needs of civilians within a besieged area lies with the party that has effective control over them – namely, the besieged party.Footnote 35 However, as soon as the civilian population under its control is “not adequately provided” with supplies essential to their survival or suffers “undue hardship”, relief actions which are humanitarian and impartial in character and conducted without any adverse distinction shall be undertaken subject to the agreement of the “Parties concerned” in international armed conflicts (IACs) and the “High Contracting Party concerned” in non-international armed conflicts (NIACs).Footnote 36 The ICRC Commentary on AP I provides that, alternatively, if it would be impossible to provide sufficient aid for the civilian population within the besieged area, the prohibition against starvation should dictate their evacuation.Footnote 37
Despite the absolute requirement of obtaining consent for relief actions to be implemented, it is now generally accepted that this decision is not left to the discretion of the parties, which may not withhold their consent arbitrarily.Footnote 38 The Oxford Guidance on the Law Relating to Humanitarian Relief Operations in Situations of Armed Conflict (Oxford Guidance) differentiates between three scenarios in which withholding of consent would be considered arbitrary: first, if it is withheld in circumstances that result in the violation by a State of its obligations under international law with respect to the civilian population in question; second, if the withholding of consent violates the principles of necessity and proportionality; and third, when consent is withheld in a manner that is unreasonable, unjust, lacking in predictability or otherwise inappropriate.Footnote 39 However, it must be noted that this interpretation has been rejected by Watts, who criticizes the Oxford Guidance as “unnecessarily complicating a passage that is clear and settled in its meaning”.Footnote 40 According to him, States were only willing to abandon the limited scope of Article 23 of Geneva Convention IV (GC IV) in exchange for discretion to permit or reject the broader relief actions of Article 70 of AP I during sieges.Footnote 41
One of the scenarios in which withholding of consent would be considered arbitrary is when doing so would violate the prohibition against starvation.Footnote 42 Here it sufficient to refer to the aforementioned majority interpretation of the prohibition, which merely precludes conduct the purpose of which is to starve civilians. Such an interpretation seems to be reflected in the Oxford Guidance, which states that “[w]ithholding consent to humanitarian relief operations in situations where the civilian population is inadequately supplied and the State intends to cause, contribute to, or perpetuate starvation” is arbitrary.Footnote 43 The ICRC seems to derive from the prohibition against starvation not only an obligation to allow civilians to leave the besieged area but also an obligation to consent to humanitarian relief operations to the benefit of those who remain.Footnote 44 Such an approach also seems to be taken in the San Remo Manual (Article 103) and the Harvard Manual (Article 158) with regard to naval and aerial blockades. In contrast, a number of military manuals conclude that if the besieging party leaves open the offer for civilians and the wounded and sick to leave the besieged area, preventing any supplies from reaching that area would not amount to a violation of the prohibition.Footnote 45
Whether or not the prohibition against starvation entails an obligation to consent to humanitarian relief operations in the context of a siege, it must be noted that consenting parties retain a right of control.Footnote 46 This allows them to verify consignments, prescribe technical arrangements, require supervision by a humanitarian organization to ensure that only civilians benefit from the assistance, and even impose temporary and geographically limited restrictions as required by military necessity.Footnote 47 In this respect, it has been submitted that a besieging party may temporarily deny the delivery of humanitarian relief when there are reasonable grounds to believe that the consignments may be diverted by the besieged party.Footnote 48 Although the denial of consent may not go beyond what military necessity demands,Footnote 49 this could be interpreted as allowing the besieging party to withhold consent for the entire duration of the siege if the diversion threat would be expected to persist.
The need for an additional layer of protection: The principle of proportionality
By characterizing the effect of starving the civilian population as not constituting a “method of warfare” but as merely incidental to achieving the military objective of starving the besieged enemy forces, the protection offered by Article 54(1) of AP I and Article 14 of AP II has been significantly diminished. Indeed, it might be exceptionally difficult to establish such a purpose from the side of the besieging force.Footnote 50 Moreover, shifting the focus from the prohibition against starvation to the rules regulating humanitarian relief operations does not seem helpful due to the ambiguities regarding the requirement of consent and the right of control of the besieging party. In attempting to remedy this protection gap, the following section will demonstrate that the principle of proportionality applies in the context of siege warfare and protects the civilian population from excessive incidental civilian harm.
Does the principle of proportionality apply in the context of sieges?
A siege as an attack in the sense of Article 49(1) of AP I
The notion of “attacks” forms the heart of the rules which are traditionally referred to as “Hague law” and which aim at protecting the civilian population and, to a much more limited extent, combatants or fighters from the effects of hostilities.Footnote 51 These rules must be distinguished from the norms of “Geneva law”, which protect persons and objects in the power of a party to the conflict.Footnote 52 This fundamental distinction has important practical consequences since a party may not conduct hostilities against, and thus not direct “attacks” against, persons or objects in its power.Footnote 53 Indeed, under Geneva law, persons hors de combat or in the power of a party to the conflict must be treated humanely at all times, and objects controlled by a party are protected against “wanton” destruction.Footnote 54
While the fundamental principles of the law governing the conduct of hostilities apply to the wider notion of “military operations”, its more detailed rules, including the principle of proportionality, only apply to “attacks” as defined in Article 49(1) of AP I.Footnote 55 Therefore, the crux of the matter is whether a siege can be considered an attack – that is, an act of violence against the adversary, whether in offence or defence.Footnote 56 Although it is uncontroversial that the rules on the conduct of hostilities apply to kinetic attacks such as bombardments carried out during a siege,Footnote 57 views diverge on the crucial question of whether the encirclement and isolation aspect of a siege can be considered an attack in the sense of Article 49(1).Footnote 58 Various convincing arguments have been presented to substantiate the claim that it can indeed be considered thus.Footnote 59
Interpreting the notion of “attack” in light of its context and object and purpose
The first argument that has been presented is that Article 49(1) of AP I, which defines attacks as acts of violence against the adversary whether in offence or defence, is sufficiently broad and flexible to include siege.Footnote 60 Consequently, it must be determined how the elements of this definition, and in particular the notion of an “act of violence”, should be interpreted.
The centrality of violence in the definition of attacks is supported in both the ICRC Commentary on AP I, which explains that “attack means combat action”, and in the commentary by Bothe, Partsch and Solf, which clarifies that “the term ‘acts of violence’ denotes physical force”.Footnote 61 However, nowadays it is well settled that the violent essence of an act must be understood in terms of consequences rather than referring to the nature of the means or method of attack.Footnote 62 Indeed, it is uncontroversial that the use of chemical, biological or radiological weapons constitutes an attack even though the use of such weapons does not involve kinetic force.Footnote 63
This consequence-based approach has been developed particularly in the field of cyber warfare.Footnote 64 According to Rule 92 of the Tallinn Manual 2.0 on the International Law Applicable to Cyber Operations, “a cyber-attack is a cyber operation, whether offensive or defensive, that is reasonably expected to cause injury or death to persons or damage or destruction to objects”.Footnote 65 The Manual further confirms that “acts of violence should not be understood as limited to activities that release kinetic force” and that “the crux of the notion lies in the effects that are caused”.Footnote 66 The ICRC has taken a similar position and argues that “cyber operations expected to cause death, injury or physical damage constitute attacks under IHL”.Footnote 67 In keeping with this approach, the International Criminal Court (ICC) has recently held that “in characterizing a certain conduct as an ‘attack’, what matters is the consequences of the act, and particularly whether injury, death, damage or destruction are intended or foreseeable consequences thereof”.Footnote 68
Such an interpretation conforms with the customary rule that treaties shall be interpreted in good faith, in accordance with the ordinary meaning to be given to the terms of the treaty, in their context and in light of the treaty's object and purpose.Footnote 69 Indeed, a careful evaluation of the rules on the conduct of hostilities applicable to attacks illustrates that the concern was not so much with the nature of the acts, but rather with the consequences they might entail.Footnote 70 Moreover, a restrictive understanding of the notion of attack would be hard to reconcile with the object and purpose of AP I, which is to ensure the protection of the civilian population and civilian objects against the effects of hostilities.Footnote 71
However, it must be noted that for an “act of violence” to amount to an attack in the sense of Article 49(1) of AP I, the act must be directed “against the adversary”. This requirement has been interpreted as requiring that the act of violence must be executed with the motivation to cause harm to the adversary or other persons or objects in the conduct of hostilities. Such an interpretation has been proposed to prevent the possibility that, for example, the provision of air-delivered supplies which inadvertently causes injury or damage, or manoeuvre damage to roads and fields, could be considered an attack.Footnote 72 This requirement proves rather unproblematic in the context of a siege, given a siege's objective to induce the enemy into submission by means of starvation.Footnote 73
In light of this consequence-based approach, a siege, or more precisely its encirclement and isolation aspect, which is not characterized by its kinetic nature as such but rather by its violent consequences (namely, the starvation of both enemy forces and civilians in the besieged area), can be considered an attack in the sense of Article 49(1).
Reasoning by analogy to the law of blockades
As a second argument, an analogy can be made to naval and aerial blockades, with which sieges display a number of similarities and where the principle of proportionality has become part and parcel of the applicable legal framework.Footnote 74 Although blockades are rooted in siege warfare, they are today generally employed as a method of economic warfare aimed at disrupting the targeted State's economy and consequently reducing its ability to wage war.Footnote 75 In a naval or aerial blockade, a belligerent party prevents both enemy and neutral vessels and aircraft from entering or exiting specified ports, airports or coastal areas belonging to, occupied by or under the control of the opposing party.Footnote 76 It has been submitted that the effects of blockade in blocking all forms of commerce, whether inbound or outbound, can resemble a siege in inflicting starvation.Footnote 77
In closing the gap left by the restrictive interpretation of the prohibition against starvation, which only extends to blockades with respectively “the sole” or “the sole or primary” purpose of starving the civilian population,Footnote 78 both the San Remo Manual and the Harvard Manual require that the blockading party adheres to the principle of proportionality.Footnote 79 This progressive development has widely resonated and influenced not only the practice of States, as reflected in their military manuals,Footnote 80 but also the findings of Commissions of Inquiry.Footnote 81 Although both the San Remo and Harvard Manuals remain silent on the question of whether a blockade can be considered an attack in the sense of Article 49(1) of AP I,Footnote 82 this development provides a strong argument for applying the proportionality principle to siege warfare, which is characterized by similar harmful consequences.
Emerging State practice and support among experts
Finally, there appears to be growing support, not only in State practice but also among experts and legal scholars, that the proportionality principle constrains the possibility of enforcing a siege. Such a position was, for example, adopted by the Group of Eminent International and Regional Experts on Yemen in their 2019 report addressed to the Human Rights Council.Footnote 83 Moreover, reference can be made to the US Law of War Manual, which provides that “[m]ilitary action intended to starve enemy forces … must not be taken where it is expected to result in incidental harm to the civilian population that is excessive in relation to the military advantage anticipated to be gained.”Footnote 84
How does the principle of proportionality operate in the context of a siege?
The principle of proportionality is perhaps one of the most apparent manifestations of the delicate balance between the competing principles of military necessity and humanity that characterizes all norms of IHL.Footnote 85 It recognizes that causing incidental civilian harm in the conduct of hostilities is often unavoidable, but it limits the extent of incidental civilian harm that is permissible by spelling out how these two fundamental principles must be balanced.Footnote 86 In this respect, the proportionality principle prohibits “attacks which may be expected to cause incidental loss of civilian life, injury to civilians, damage to civilian objects, or a combination thereof, which would be excessive in relation to the concrete and direct military advantage anticipated.”Footnote 87
While Article 51(5)(b) of AP I qualifies a violation of the principle of proportionality as an indiscriminate attack, the principle also appears in Article 57(2) of AP I as one of the precautionary measures that an attacker must take. According to Article 57(2)(a)(iii), an attacker must refrain from deciding to launch any attack which would violate the proportionality principle. This entails an obligation to do everything feasible to assess whether an attack would violate this principle.Footnote 88 Finally, Article 57(2)(b) obliges an attacker to do everything feasible to cancel or suspend an attack when it becomes apparent that the proportionality principle would be violated.Footnote 89 This section will investigate how these interconnected and mutually reinforcing obligations operate in the context of siege warfare.Footnote 90
Challenges in applying the principle of proportionality to sieges
The existence of the principle of proportionality as a norm is undisputed, and States and their armed forces consider it a serious limitation on their military activity.Footnote 91 However, it has been observed that “[t]he main problem with the principle of proportionality is not whether or not it exists but what it means and how it is to be applied”.Footnote 92 Indeed, determining what must be included within the two sides of the assessment and how these are to be balanced is a challenging endeavour.Footnote 93 Perhaps the most challenging aspect of the proportionality analysis lies in the fact that it requires an ex ante evaluation of whether the “expected” incidental civilian harm would be excessive in relation to the concrete and direct military advantage “anticipated”.Footnote 94 Moreover, what has to be balanced are not the respective values of the military advantage and incidental harm in abstracto, but these values and their respective certainty and likelihood based on the information reasonably available to the military commander at the time of the attack.Footnote 95
In this respect, a number of scholars have expressed reservations concerning the viability of applying the principle of proportionality in the context of blockades, which are of equal relevance with regard to sieges. Dannenbaum has submitted that the principle of proportionality's ordinary weaknesses, and particularly its ex ante nature, are exacerbated by the nature of blockades and sieges.Footnote 96 First, he argues that in contrast to targeting operations, which are generally short in duration and limited in scope, blockades or sieges may affect the entire civilian population of a city or even a country for a longer period of time. Moreover, their effects might intersect with numerous other contextual factors which will only become clear over time.Footnote 97 Similarly, Drew has held that
[w]hile in a kinetic attack it is generally relatively easy to determine the damage that will likely be caused within a certain radius of a weapon's detonation point, there is truly no way to approximate the effects of an operation that may last several years, particularly in situations where the harm to civilians becomes exponentially worse with time.Footnote 98
Second and more fundamentally, Dannenbaum questions how, if at all, incidental civilian harm already caused by the encirclement should be incorporated in the proportionality assessment of the continuation of a siege.Footnote 99 This question is inspired by the currently ongoing debate on the continuous application of the principle of proportionality under jus ad bellum.Footnote 100 Although the precise content of the proportionality principle under jus ad bellum is unclear,Footnote 101 the majority of scholars seems to reject “a static approach”Footnote 102 of ad bellum proportionality in favour of some form of continuous application of this principle.Footnote 103 If proportionality under jus ad bellum is considered as subjecting the use of defensive force to a continuous harm–benefit analysis, the question arises as to how the already inflicted harm should be integrated into the proportionality assessment.Footnote 104 Different approaches exist in this regard. The “quota view” requires an initial proportionality assessment, and the subsequent continuous assessment of whether the accumulated harm throughout the conflict has exceeded the benefit of achieving the just cause. The “prospective view”, on the other hand, considers past harms as “sunk costs” which are irrelevant to the continuous forward-looking proportionality assessment.Footnote 105 In what follows, these two interrelated challenges with regard to the application of the principle of proportionality under jus in bello in the context of siege warfare will be addressed. In doing so, the focus will lie on what Cohen and Zlotogorski have termed the “procedural aspects of the principle of proportionality” – namely, the precautionary measures which should be taken before and during a siege in order to monitor its proportionality.Footnote 106
From an ex ante assessment to the continuous monitoring of a siege
Article 57(2)(b) of AP I provides that an attacking party must do everything feasible to cancel or “suspend” an attack if it becomes “apparent” that it would violate the principle of proportionality.Footnote 107 It follows from this provision that the proportionality of an attack should be assessed not only in the planning phase but also in the successive phase when the decision to launch the attack has already been taken and, more importantly, when the attack is being carried out and can still be stopped.Footnote 108 In the context of sieges, which consist of the encirclement and isolation of an area for a certain period of time, this provision thus requires not only an analysis of the proportionality of the siege prior to its initiation but also the continuous monitoring of its proportionality throughout the duration of the siege.Footnote 109
The continuous monitoring of the proportionality of a siege should be guided by the precautionary obligation of Article 57(2)(a)(iii) of AP I, which requires those who plan and decide upon an attack to do everything feasible to obtain information that will allow for a meaningful assessment of “the reasonably foreseeable incidental effects” on the civilian population.Footnote 110 It has been submitted that belligerents should have a system in place to effectively gather and analyze relevant information.Footnote 111 This should include “lessons learned” from past experiences, information in the public domain, and information that can be acquired by the belligerents’ intelligence-gathering systems.Footnote 112 Moreover, if expert resources are reasonably available, they must be consulted.Footnote 113
To institutionalize a system of continuous monitoring, an analogy can be made to the battle damage assessments that some States’ armed forces already conduct after an attack in order to determine its military impact and, increasingly, its civilian impact.Footnote 114 Such assessments can reveal the accuracy of the party's estimations and consequently refine future proportionality assessments.Footnote 115 It must be noted that contrary to the proportionality principle under jus ad bellum, the proportionality assessment under jus in bello is essentially anticipatory and therefore precludes that information on the civilian harm actually caused and the actual military impact of an attack will result in the conclusion that the attack was disproportional.Footnote 116 Similarly, in the context of a siege, continuously monitoring the incidental civilian harm caused by the siege and its impact on the besieged forces cannot lead to the conclusion that the siege has violated the principle of proportionality but merely informs the commander of the besieging party in his or her proportionality assessment regarding the continuation of the siege.Footnote 117 For example, if the commander of the besieging force is confronted with a sudden increase of civilian death and illness due to starvation, this might inform him or her that continuing the siege would be disproportionate due to the fact that the civilian harm might be expected to rise if the siege continues.
The “circumstances ruling at the time” of the proportionality assessment will impact what kind of incidental effects may be objectively foreseeable. Therefore, it becomes possible to account for various contextual factors, such as previous hostilities, the protracted nature of the conflict, or economic sanctions or blockades which might intersect with the effects of the siege, provided they are “reasonably known”.Footnote 118 For example, if the commander knows that previous bombardments have severely damaged the electricity network of the besieged area and thereby disrupted the functioning of the city's only water treatment plant, the number of civilians expected to starve during the siege or by continuing the siege will rise. During protracted conflicts such as those in Syria and Yemen, it is reasonably known that essential services and infrastructure have seriously deteriorated over the years, thereby making the civilian population more vulnerable to starvation when siege is laid.Footnote 119
It must be noted that a besieging party must only comply with these precautionary obligations “to the extent feasible”. In a declaration submitted upon ratification of AP I, several States expressed their position that “feasible” is to be understood as “that which is practicable or practically possible, taking into account all circumstances ruling at the time including humanitarian and military considerations”.Footnote 120 However, it has been argued that “[a]s sieges are by nature relatively ‘static’, more significant precautions may be considered feasible for besieging forces than during more dynamic operations”.Footnote 121 Nevertheless, the lack of “boots on the ground” by the besieging force in the besieged area poses difficulties with regard to intelligence-gathering.Footnote 122
Conclusion
Siege warfare and its devastating humanitarian consequences have been one of the defining features of contemporary armed conflicts. While the most apparent restriction of siege warfare is provided by the prohibition against starvation of civilians as a method of warfare, States’ restrictive interpretation of this prohibition has resulted in a permissive approach towards sieges which affect civilians “incidentally”. This article has demonstrated that shifting the focus from the prohibition against starvation to the rules regulating humanitarian relief operations does not seem helpful due to the ambiguities regarding the requirement of consent and the right of control of the besieging party.
However, this article has also demonstrated that civilians who remain within a besieged city are not without legal protection from the hardships they endure. In this respect, this article has submitted that civilians who remain within a besieged area are protected against excessive incidental civilian harm under the proportionality principle. Three arguments have been presented to substantiate the claim that a siege can be considered an attack in the sense of Article 49(1) of AP I, which is constrained by the principle of proportionality. First, it has been demonstrated that under the consequence-based interpretation of an “act of violence”, a siege can be considered such an attack. Second, an analogy can be made with the law of blockades, with which sieges display a number of similarities and where the proportionality principle has become part and parcel of the applicable legal framework. Third, there seems to be an emerging State practice of, and support among experts for, applying the principle of proportionality to sieges.
Although the anticipatory nature of the principle of proportionality poses distinct challenges when applied in the context of siege warfare, this article has attempted to clarify how the principle can be operationalized during sieges. It has been demonstrated that Article 57(2)(b) of AP I requires not only an analysis of the proportionality of a siege prior to its initiation but also the continuous monitoring of the proportionality throughout the duration of the siege.