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Intolerable nuisances: some laboratory evidence on survivor curve shapes

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 March 2025

Ciril Bosch-Rosa*
Affiliation:
Colegio Universitario de Estudios Financieros, Madrid, Spain Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
Christina Aperjis
Affiliation:
Power Auctions, Washington, DC, USA
Daniel Friedman
Affiliation:
Economics Department, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
Bernardo A. Huberman
Affiliation:
HP Labs, Palo Alto, CA, USA

Abstract

The fraction of a user population willing to tolerate nuisances of size x is summarized in the survivor curve S(x); its shape is crucial in economic decisions such as pricing and advertising. We report a laboratory experiment that, for the first time, estimates the shape of survivor curves in several different settings. Laboratory subjects engage in a series of six desirable activities, e.g., playing a video game, viewing a chosen video clip, or earning money by answering questions. For each activity and each subject we introduce a chosen level x∈[xmin,xmax] of a particular nuisance, and the subject chooses whether to tolerate the nuisance or to switch to a bland activity for the remaining time. New non-parametric techniques provide bounds on the empirical survivor curves for each activity. Parametric fits of the classic Weibull distribution provide estimates of the survivor curves’ shapes. The fitted shape parameter depends on the activity and nuisance, but overall the estimated survivor curves tend to be log-convex. An implication, given the model of Aperjis and Huberman (SSRN, doi: 10.2139/ssrn.1672820, 2011), is that introducing nuisances all at once will generally be more profitable than introducing them gradually.

Type
Original Paper
Copyright
Copyright © 2016 Economic Science Association

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Footnotes

Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10683-016-9501-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

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